National Pre-Season XC 2023
GIRLS Teams - National 2023
Bill Meylan (July 22, 2023 ... updated July 24)
- Girls - Contending National Teams
- ... I do this each pre-season for my own interest and to gather background information
- Purpose
- ... Get a general idea where the national teams might rank overall
- Ranking Method
- ... General extension of the 2022 XC season into 2023
- ... Focus on cross country results ... modify very little and selectively with track results
- ... Exclude teams with limited data or data that can't be guessed readily
- ... First Criteria - consider teams that competed in the NXN National & Regional races or the RunningLane Championship
- ... Consider performance in championship races such as State Championships
- ... Initially, combine possible teams in a single race scenario (via speed ratings)
- ... Eliminate 5-10 teams with the worst scores in an iterative process
- ... Stop when 30 teams remain ... Manipulate scores and positions based on other factors
Once
the real season starts, I tend to ignore the pre-season
.
Remember ... this list is just an
informational starting point ... Real 2023 race results are what count.
I did add some Regional Projections
Pre-Season Projection - Girls National Team Contenders - 2023
... Note - Scores are based on a race simulations of 30 teams
... (updated July 24) ... see note below School State Score NXN Region -------------------- ----- ----- ---------- 1 Niwot CO 135 Southwest 2 Buchanan (CS) CA 160 California 3 Lone Peak UT 170 Southwest 4 Flower Mound TX 205 South 5 Saratoga Springs NY 205 New York *6 JSerra Catholic (SS) CA 235 California (transfers included) 7 Air Academy CO 250 Southwest 8 Mountain Vista CO 335 Southwest 9 Mt. Prospect (Prospect) IL 335 Midwest 10 Southlake Carroll TX 340 South 11 Cuthbertson NC 355 Southeast 12 Jesuit Portland OR 395 Northwest 13 Elmhurst (York) IL 395 Midwest 14 Ventura (SS) CA 395 California (added) 15 Webb School of Knoxville TN 400 Southeast 16 Lucas Lovejoy TX 415 South 17 American Fork UT 435 Southwest 18 Rancho Cucamonga (SS) CA 445 California 19 North Allegheny PA 455 Northeast 20 Campolindo (NC) CA 460 California 21 Assumption KY 465 Southeast 22 Otsego MI 465 Midwest 23 Bethlehem NY 470 New York 25 Los Altos (CC) CA 485 California 25 Boise Senior ID 490 Northwest 26 Noblesville IN 495 Midwest 27 Cardinal Gibbons NC 500 Southeast 28 Cherry Creek CO 510 Southwest 29 Mount Tabor NC 515 Southeast 30 Mason OH 515 Midwest **31 Newbury Park (SS) CA 505 California ** I was informed that Newbury Park's top runner is transferring to Ventura ... they drop from #27 to #31(or lower). Note - JSerra Catholic is reported to have some transfers that are now included ... they moved from #11 to #6 ... see JSerra Catholic below Also - Ventura (SS) gets the Newbury Park transfer moves into #14 The next group is basically in order following the list above ... Many are very close and the order could be shuffled a lot:Cathedral Catholic (SD) CA California** top runner transferring out Marietta GA Southeast Naperville (North) IL Midwest Ventura (SS) CA California ** moved up to #14 Hilliard Davidson OH Midwest Union Catholic Reg NJ Northeast Auburn AL Southeast Fayetteville-Manlius NY New York Morgantown WV Southeast Minnetonka MN Heartland ** (Top Heartland Team) Olathe West KS Heartland Wayzata MN Heartland Wellesley MA Northeast Klein TX South Clovis North (CS) CA California La Canada (SS) CA California Mountain View UT Southwest Bentonville AR South Del Norte (SD) CA California Tolono (Unity) IL Midwest Brentwood TN Southeast Haddonfield Memorial HS NJ Northeast Johnston IA Heartland Naperville (Central) IL Midwest Lincoln HS OR Northwest East Grand Rapids MI Midwest Saint Paul Highland Park MN Heartland Austin Vandegrift TX South West Springfield VA Southeast Edina MN Heartland Padua Academy DE Southeast Dubuque Hempstead IA Heartland Champlain Valley Union VT Northeast Central Kitsap WA Northwest Downers Grove (North) IL Midwest Holland West Ottawa MI Midwest Oaks Christian (SS) CA California Kingwood TX South The Woodlands TX South W.T. Woodson VA Southeast Fairview CO Southwest Great Oak (SS) CA California Carmel IN Midwest
- Where did the scores come from?
- ... 2022 Seasonal Speed Ratings
- ... Manual manipulation based on track results (but not many)
- ... Manual
manipulation based on Guessing
- General Comments for the Coming Season
- ... Top pre-season teams are typically highly-ranked teams from the previous year that return a solid core of good runners
- ... Niwot is the slight favorite based on returning runners and speed ratings and a best #5 runner rating ... the next five teams (Buchanan, Lone Peak, Flower Mound, Saratoga and Air Academy are serious challengers to win and/or "Make the Podium" at Nationals.
- ... Pre-Season Rankings are only good for identifying teams of potential ability to watch once the season starts ... At this point, my method can exclude many good teams that will be ranked throughout the XC season, and those teams can be identified during the season (which is more important than pre-season).
- ... Very little separates
many of the
lower-ranked teams
... Most ranking placement was determined by speed-rating simulations
(which varied quite a bit) ... One new "good" runner on most teams
or one scorer having an "off" race made a significant difference
in ranking position ... So I made a Best-Guess.
#1 - Niwot CO ... Niwot finished a very good 2nd to Saratoga at last year's NXN Nationals ... Last year, Niwot won the Colorado State 4A Championship and won NXR Southwest ... Niwot returns their top 4 from NXN Nationals and they are a deep and talented team ... Niwot's current scoring advantage over other teams ranked here is at the #5 scoring position which has a speed rating in the upper 120s to 130 ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
143 - Addison Ritzenhein - 10 -- (146 137
137 129 127 121 115)
135 - Mia Prok - 12 -- (135 133 130 124 137)
133 - Bella Nelson - 11 -- (137 113 128 130 130 122 110)
132 - Olivia Alessandrini - 12 -- (135 128 113 122 126 105)
128 - Anna Prok - 10 -- (124 130 121 123 129 127)
117 - Cayden Justice - 12 -- (109 122 97)
108 - Avalon Beltran - 10 -- (109 107 90)
#2 - Buchanan (CS) CA
... Buchanan finished 3rd at NXN Nationals last year (only 7
points behind Niwot) ... Last year,
Buchanan was the top team in California State Meet Merge by 183
points
... They return 5 of 7 runners, including 3 scorers
... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with
available (2022 seasonal ratings):
141 - Elliana Lomeli - 11 -- (137 143 140
129)
137 - Kynzlee Buckley - 10 -- (128 131 139 140 138 129)
136 - Sierra Cornett - 11 -- (135 137 134 130 131 127)
130 - Tayler Torosian - 10 -- (123 135 120 118 127)
120 - Avery Hutchison - 11 -- (111 104 123 124 113 117)
110 - Elizabeth Dimitrashchuk - 11 -- (111 100 113 102)
103 - Riley Burgess - 12 -- (88 103 77 105 89)
#3 - Lone Peak UT ... Lone Peak finished 4th at NXN Nationals last year (only 11 points behind Niwot and 4 points behind Buchanan) ... Lone Peak was 2nd at NXR Southwest and won the Utah State 6A Championship ... Lone Peak returns their entire team from NXN Nationals, and they are a serious contender to win the National title... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
150 - Andie Aagard - 12 -- (149 154 141
134 136 )
132 - Boston Bybee - 11 -- (140 123 121 110 112 121 118 122 )
130 - Brielle Nilsson - 10 -- (136 129 119 113 111 120 93 92 )
129 - Addie Meldrum - 12 -- (132 126 126 120 124 116 115 )
123 - Anna Bybee - 10 -- (124 124 121 117 113 119 104 103 )
119 - Zoey Nilsson - 10 -- (116 125 119 105 113 116 100 95 )
105 - Ashley Favero - 11 -- (104 109 100 87 83 57 78 )
#4 - Flower Mound TX ... Flower Mound finished 6th at NXN Nationals last year ... They were 3rd at NXR South on a wet & slippery course, and got into NXN Nationals as an "At-Large" selection (which they deserved) ... Flower Mound was the Texas UIL 6A State Champion, and they return their entire team from the State Meet ... Flower Mound has the highest speed-rated top 3 runners from any team ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
147 - Samantha Humphries - 12 -- (150 132
143 147 146 143 144 141 140)
147 - Nicole Humphries - 12 -- (140 148 149 137 147 135 144 123 138 133)
141 - Alexandra Fox - 11 -- (141 139 143 144 132 131 129)
119 - Natalie Spangher - 12 -- (119 114 120 101 119 125 119 105)
114 - Ava Cole - 11 -- (108 118 114 111 110 108 88)
100 - Bailey Hooley - 12 -- (89 102 101 89)
100 - Annalise Murray - 10 -- (93 84 100 104 96 99)
#5 - Saratoga Springs NY ... Saratoga has competed at NXN Nationals in 15 of the 17 years that NXN (NTN) has operated ... Saratoga won the last two NXN Nationals & they won the very 1st NXN (NTN) title in 2004 ... Last fall, Saratoga won the NY State Class A race, the NY Federations Champ race and the NXR-New York race ... Saratoga graduated two top runners from last year's NXN Nationals (the Wheeler twins), but do have some depth at a decent level ... It appears they are reasonably close to the teams ranked above them, and they are a contender to win again ... Additional NY data are available at the NY Pre-Season Team Rankings ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
145 - Emily Bush - 12 -- (142
135 143 145 147 145 145 137 143)
137 - Anya Belisle - 12 -- (134 140 135 128 134 134 133 125
125)
136 - Alycia Hart - 12 -- (137 116 133 138 114 137 127 99)
121 - Heidi Berglund - 9 -- (119 108 124 119 109 122 113 101
91)
114 - Natalie Wilding - 9 -- (104 102 115 113 115 114 107 87
68)
113 - Katie Turner - 11 -- (113 110 110 88 67)
93 - Tong Ang - 9 -- (91 88 94)
90 - Alyssa Connors - 11 -- (69 86 96 83 7)
#6 - JSerra Catholic (SS) CA ... JSerra Catholic finished 4th in the California State Meet Merge last year, and were selected to compete at NXN Nationals where they finished 21st ... They return their top 4 scorers & one other ... Update - Reported Transfers listed below ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
131 - Brynn Garcia - 11 -- (113 132 127
98 130 129 138 142)
129 - Summer Wilson - 10 -- (122 125 129 131 119 129 133)
125 - Kaylah Tasser - 10 -- (114 122 120 98 121 128 128 130)
114 - Brooke O'Brien - 12 -- (112 115 106 115 114 111 107)
111 - Georgia Jeanneret - 12 -- (101 112 111 98 113 96 114 102)
100 ? - Anne Elise Packard - 11 -- (114 66 54 97)
90 - Amerie Johnson - 11 -- (90 67 78 91)
... New Transfers:
110 - Chiara Bonomi - 11 -- (114 91 106 103) - from Cathedral Catholic
(SD)
125 - Chloe Elbaz - 10 -- (123 126 121) - from Xavier College Prep (SS)
129 - Sophie Polay - 11 -- (129 116 116 140 131) - from Santa Margarita (SS)
#7 - Air Academy CO ... Air Academy finished a very nice 7th at last year's NXN Nationals ... They were 3rd at NXR Southwest and earned an "At-Large" selection to Nationals ... Air Academy was the Colorado State 5A Champion ... Bethany Michalak is my top-rated individual team runner ... Air Academy returns their entire team from NXN Nationals ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
154 - Bethany Michalak - 12 -- (161 150
135 148 135)
138 - Tessa Walter - 11 -- (138 130 139 138 141 139)
124 - Jordan Banta - 10 -- (124 120 121 100 132 123 116)
123 - Emily Beers - 11 -- (125 117 120 116 106 109 106)
109 - Lauren Myers - 10 -- (107 91 112 109 117 99)
105 - Olivia Chura - 11 -- (112 96 97 96 95 87 76)
88 - Sofia Kunstle - 12 -- (90 84 74 76 )
#8 - Mountain Vista CO ... Mountain Vista finished 4th at NXR Southwest and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They finished 2nd at the Colorado State 5A race (behind Air Academy), and they won the RunningLane Championship ... They graduated 3 scoring runners ... But Mountain Vista gets two very high quality transfers (the top two runners listed below - Keegan Edwards from Valor Christian & Juliet Frum from Illinois) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
143 - Juliet Frum - 11 -- (145 143 139
130 126)
139 - Keegan Edwards - 10 -- (132 139 145 139 134 139)
129 - Peyton Adams - 11 -- (125 127 132 119 119 126 134)
107 - Carly Christians - 10 -- (108 103 95 101 96 86 96)
106 - Marin Smith - 12 -- (105 86 108 97 66 104 104)
104 - Jessica Derickson - 12 -- (104 98 101 94 90 80 91)
97 - Zoe Brandt - 11 -- (102 77 70 )
#9 - Prospect IL ... Prospect IL finished 5th at NXN Nationals last year ... They won NXR Midwest and the Illinois State 3A Championship ... They graduated 3 of 7 runners including 2 scorers, but return a solid core of 4 runners ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
134 - Meg Peterson - 10 -- (133 137 131
134 121 97 117)
133 - Veronica Znajda - 11 -- (132 136 132 137 127 121 116)
132 - Lily Ginsberg - 12 -- (128 137 127 133 126 105 126 113)
118 - Ireland Wildhart - 11 -- (119 118 113 111 106 101 93)
101 - Kaitlin Skelton - 12 -- (101 101 94 96)
95 - Sophie Fransen - 11 -- (97 89 91 80)
87 - Rachel Asper - 10 -- (89 77)
#10 - Southlake Carroll TX
... Southlake Carroll finished 11th at NXN Nationals last year
... They won NXR
South ... They finished a close 2nd to Flower Mound at the Texas State 6A Championship ...
Southlake Carroll lost 3 runner to graduation including 2
scorers, but they typically have some depth ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings
with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
137 - Alexandra Walsh - 12 -- (91 120 144
136 139 137)
133 - Sylvia Schwedler - 12 -- (130 135 133 130 126 129 114 110 112)
121 - Elizabeth Smits - 11 -- (118 123 120 115 119 121 116 112 92)
115 - Charlotte Martin - 12 -- (117 107 110 94 85 101)
111 - Sarayu Veluri - 11 -- (104 111 111 109 111 116 99 101 89)
106 - Ryann Flores - 11 -- (107 105 101 102 96)
103 - Gabriella Tesoriero - 11 -- (94 103 104 89 102 90)
#11 - Cuthbertson NC
... Cuthbertson finished 8th at NXN Nationals last year ... They won NXR
Southeast and won the North Carolina State 4A Championship ...
Cuthbertson
returns 4 of their top 6 runners ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings
with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
143 - Stella Kermes - 12 -- (141 143 144
139 142)
133 - Charlotte Bell - 12 -- (134 131 130 118 133)
128 - Justine Preisano - 12 -- (127 126 128 130 129)
110 ?? - Lily Fierick - 12 -- (114)
104 - Josie Schihl - 10 -- (9 102 106 91)
90 - Ava Walters - 11 -- (79 52 98 84 78)
81 - Maggie Houp - 11 -- (83 72)
#12 - Jesuit Portland OR ... Jesuit Portland finished 12th at NXN Nationals last year... They finished 2nd at NXR Northwest and won the Oregon State 6A Championship ... Jesuit Oregon returns 5 of 6 runners including their top two ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
130 - Maura O'Scannlain - 11 -- (127 124
133 131 124 129 122)
122 - Emma Bennett - 11 -- (125 118 113 98)
122 - Liliana Hudnut - 12 -- (117 120 126 117 119 113)
116 - Amalie Beil - 12 -- (114 110 120 116 104 100 105 95)
111 - Audrey O'Neill - 12 -- (105 98 116 107 112 87)
104 - Kennedy Averill - 12 -- (105 98)
93 - Lili Maycock - 12 -- (92 71 94)
#13 - York IL
... York finished 10th at NXN Nationals last year ... They
finished 2nd at both NXR Midwest & the Illinois State 3A race (behind
Prospect) ... York losses 2 scorers to graduation ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings
with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
131 - Michaela Quinn - 12 -- (123 135 132
128 121 115)
127 - Katherine Klimek - 12 -- (123 125 130 127 121 120)
121 - Maggie Quinn - 10 -- (115 125 119 115 110 108)
111 - Margaret Owens - 12 -- (113 101)
111 - Lily Bianchi - 10 -- (107 111 112)
103 - Anna McGrail - 12 -- (103 96 104)
100 - Sophia Galiano- Sanchez - 10 -- (101 92)
#14 - Ventura (SS) CA ... Ventura finished 18th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return their entire team from the State Meet ... Update - It is reported that Tiffany Sax from Newbury Park is transferring to Ventura - I am assuming she will be competing from Ventura ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
151 - Sadie Engelhardt - 11 -- (150 149
152 141 152 151)
133 - Aelo Curtis - 10 -- (123 137 132 120 132 126)
131 - Tiffany Sax - 11 -- (131 127 120 134 137 127)
110 - Melanie True - 10 -- (107 98 112 110)
93 - Bailey Burman - 11 -- (95 85 82 88 86)
91 - Sofia Hernandez - 10 -- (92 91 90)
83 - Carla Nava - 11 -- (83 80)
#15 - Webb School of Knoxville TN ... Webb School of Knoxville finished 20th at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 2nd at NXR Southeast (73 points behind Cuthbertson) ... They return their entire team ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
122 - Anna Graves - 12 -- (120 117 118
122 130 120 )
121 - Carolina Areheart - 10 -- (91 126 119 121 128 )
119 - Jazzlyn Garmer - 10 -- (115 119 98 123 117 124 )
118 - Calysta Garmer - 10 -- (119 116 113 114 115 114 )
115 - Kristina Weaver - 11 -- (112 116 )
84 - Lauren Davis - 12 -- (70 85 72 88 93 86 )
63 - Avery Krishnan - 12 -- (62 64 48 )
#16 - Lucas Lovejoy TX ... Lucas Lovejoy finished 14th at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 2nd at NXR South and won the Texas State 5A Championship ... Lucas Lovejoy returns 6 of 7, but graduated their top runner ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
131 - Sara Morefield - 12 -- (120 130 128
128 133 137 133)
122 - Camryn Benson - 10 -- (116 121 125 124 119 117 116)
121 - Peyton Benson - 12 -- (117 119 124 121 116 121 107)
120 - Kailey Littlefield - 12 -- (116 120 121 118 120)
100 - Kate Carlson - 12 -- (82 97 99 98 105 92 97)
95 - Tatum Novicke - 10 -- (97 76 72)
93 - Jocelyn Chapman - 10 -- (90 84 77 96 88 78)
#17 - American Fork UT ... American Fork did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 5th at NXR Southwest & 2nd at Utah State 6A (behind Lone Peak) ... American Fork returns their top 5 finishers from Utah State ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
143 - Avalon Mecham - 12 -- (147 142 134
136 131 132 134 133 135)
119 - Sophie Steiger - 10 -- (102 123 118 113 113 116 115 112)
118 - Natalia Boltz - 12 -- (107 120 116 97 121 106 114 109)
114 - Alyssa Kleinman - 12 -- (111 113 112 114 115 111 97 103)
105 - Tori Stratton - 12 -- (96 102 105 103 107 92 88)
86 - Katherine Leach - 11 -- (86 81 86 55 79)
86 - Haley Whitford - 11 -- (74 90 83 71 45)
#18 - Rancho Cucamonga (SS) CA ... Rancho Cucamonga did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 13th in the California State Meet Merge ... They return their top 4 runners from the State Meet ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
121 - Nicole Alfred - 11 -- (121 119 122
115 119)
120 - Madilyn Siana - 12 -- (106 115 127 114 118
119 - Braelyn Combe - 10 -- (120 115 121 113 112)
115 - Malia Reinhold - 10 -- (108 114 117 114 112)
114 - Jaden Miura - 12 -- (72 80 117 109 117)
86 - Braelyn Keiser - 11 -- (66 87)
59 - Aaliyah Negron - 12 -- (59 )
#19 - North Allegeny PA ... North Allegeny finished 15th at NXN Nationals last year ... They won the Pennsylvania AAA Championship and return 6 of 7 runners from that race ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
134 - Wren Kucler - 11 -- (133 137 130
128 132 129 134)
123 - Eva Kynaston - 12 -- (119 126 125 120 116 112 109)
118 - Erin Mcgoey - 12 -- (120 113 119 113 111 108 114)
114 - Robin Kucler - 11 -- (97 119 104 109 114 102)
100 - Camille Swirsding - 11 -- (94 91 86 96 100 99 96)
95 - Elizabeth Pizon - 11 -- (89 97 92)
90 - Kendall Lucas - 11 -- (89 74 80 100 97 85 93)
#20 - Campolindo (NC) CA ... Campolindo (NC) finished 3rd in California State Meet Merge last year and were selected as an NXN "At-Large" team ... They finished 13th at NXN Nationals ... They return 5 of 6 runners from NXN, but graduated their top finisher ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
132 - Shea Volkmer - 12 -- (131 132 133
122)
118 - Rachel Moen - 12 -- (112 123 113 100)
116 - Sloan Pullen - 11 -- (117 98 104)
112 - Makena Weberski - 12 -- (102 105 113 112)
110 - Kate Kabenina - 12 -- (107 112 106 98)
91 - Anya Houston - 10 -- (91 91)
84 - Daisy Penney - 12 -- (84)
#21 - Assumption KY ... Assumption did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 4th at NXR Southeast after finishing 2nd at the Kentucky State 3A race ... They return their entire team ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
128 - Reagan Gilmore - 12 -- (129 127 129
128 111)
120 - Julia Schmitt - 12 -- (122 117 122 111 109 113)
118 - Leah Penick - 11 -- (114 117 120 118 107 113)
112 - Taryn Tracy - 10 -- (108 113 112 108 111 99)
106 - Mabel George - 10 -- (101 103 111 104 78)
105 - Elle Cargould - 10 -- (81 90 92 105 112 101)
102 - Mattie Whitworth - 12 -- (108 66 98 95 96)
#22 - Otsege MI ... Otsego did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... Otsego won the the Michigan State D2 Championship & return their top 6 runners from that race ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
124 - Megan Germain - 12 -- (127 120 119
117 103)
124 - Emma Hoffman - 10 -- (127 113 116 113)
121 - Logan Brazee - 12 -- (122 115 116 101)
114 - Taylor Mitchell - 11 -- (108 117 113 109 102)
95 - Rebekah Stachura - 10 -- (92 89 77 55)
75 - Taylor Klimp - 11 -- (75 60 55)
59 - Olivia Timmons - 11 -- (59 )
#23 - Bethlehem NY ... Bethlehem finished 17th at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 2nd at NXR New York & the NY Federation Championship ... They return 4 of their top 5 from NXN Nationals ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
127 - Charlotte O'Meara - 11 -- (127 72
118 124 119 111 124 130 126 127 113 124)
119 - Katherine Bannigan - 11 -- (113 94 109 102 118 117 117 118 118 119
99)
116 - Olivia Deer - 10 -- (105 101 111 114 115 116 118 114 96)
114 - Anna Chrapowitzky - 9 -- (104 97 109 109 113 115 116 106 114 98
92)
113 - Liv Pachter - 12 -- (110 42 103 105 107 114 105)
98 - Maeve Conway - 12 -- (93 94 99 88 95 82 74)
83 - Alexandra Rivard - 10 -- (24 82 85 74 62)
#24 - Los Altos CA ... Los Altos finished 2nd in California State Meet Merge last year ... They finished 19th at NXN Nationals and return 6 of 7 runners from that race ... ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
129 - Emily Soobrian - 11 -- (118 130 120
132 120)
122 - Jasleen Sidhu - 12 -- (123 120 118 119 115)
116 - Lydia Anderson - 10 -- (94 122 112)
106 - Emma Beedon - 10 -- (106 106 106 95)
105 - Maddy Randall - 12 -- (93 101 109 101)
105 - Samantha Patel - 12 -- (104 106 92)
90 - Lily Symon - 10 -- (90)
#25 - Boise Senior ID ... Boise Senior won the Idaho State 5A Championship last year, and then finished 3rd at NXR Northwest (without one of their top runners, Sammy Smith) ... They return 5 of 7 runners from States, and lose 2 scorers ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
134 - Allie Bruce - 12 -- (135 134 130
129 117 123 122)
131 - Sammy Smith - 12 -- (122 133 129)
114 - Zoe Sims - 10 -- (107 121 105 99 97)
101 - Sophia Clark - 12 -- (104 84 71 71)
101 - Lola Boice - 11 -- (99 103 79 55)
95 - Joslynn Burk - 12 -- (97 62)
90 - Audrey Orme - 10 -- (92 73 89)
#26 - Noblesville IN ... Noblesville won the Indiana State Championship last year, and then finished 5th at NXR Midwest ... They return 5 of 7 runners, but lose two scorers ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
120 - Nadia Perez - 12 -- (104 123 110
112 117 120 117 120)
118 - Ansley Applegate - 10 -- (123 109 110 112 108 107 107)
117 - Kennedy Applegate - 12 -- (111 115 118 116 93 101 98)
114 - Summer Rempe - 12 -- (113 110 116 122 99 107 87)
107 - Riley Flynn - 11 -- (102 109 104 103 105)
105 - Brinkley Cooper - 11 -- (101 70 115 104 101 104)
89 - Gretchen Graham - 10 -- (87 77 85 90)
#27 - Cardinal Gibbons NC
... Cardinal Gibbons NC did not compete at NXN Nationals last
year .... They finished 2nd (to Cuthbertson) at the North Carolina State
4A Championship last year, and then finished 8th at NXR Southeast ... They return
entire team from States & NXR Southeast ...
Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available
(2022 seasonal ratings):
139 - Hannah Rae Shaffer - 11 -- (140 137
135 120)
120 - Ina Lazarczyk - 11 -- (113 119 124 105)
109 - Katherine Pagorek - 11 -- (110 107 108 47)
108 - Peyton LaNasa - 12 -- (95 110 108 103)
104 - Addy Mitchell - 11 -- (104 105 104)
103 - Kira Bautz - 11 -- (74 74 105 105)
99 - Maggie Whitham - 10 -- (85 82 104 94)
#28 - Cherry Creek CO ... Cherry Creek did not compete at NXN National last year ... They finished 4th (to Air Academy, Mountain Vista and Valor Christian) at the Colorado State 5A Championships ... and Cherry Creek then finished 2nd (to Mountain Vista) at the RunningLane Championships ... They return 4 of 7 runners, and I'm guessing they will find a #5 runner ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
133 - Emily Cohen - 10 -- (135 126 129
135 133 119 124)
121 - Kinley Wolfe - 11 -- (124 119 115 121 114 113)
110 - Baylor Wolfe - 12 -- (110 94 98 105 116 97 103)
106 - Mia Pellegrino - 11 -- (99 110 99)
100 ? - Sophie Hamm - 12 -- (80 93 77 58)
99 - Caroline Laughlin - 11 -- (78 79 72 100 98 61 68)
68 - Alexis Schatz - 12 -- (72 49 63)
#29 - Mount Tabor NC ... Mount Tabor finished 6th at the North Carolina State 4A Championship last year ... They seem to have 3 returning runners with speed ratings in the 120s ... I'm guessing they will find a #5 runner ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
128 - Joiner Evans - 12 -- (116 127 129
134)
122 - Bronwyn Parks - 12 -- (99 122 125)
121 - Eliza Brand - 12 -- (120 122)
106 - Katie McFerrin - 12 -- (106)
93 ?? - Maggie Whitworth - 12 -- (62 80 71)
59 - Caroline Armentrout - 11 -- (60 59 54)
#30 - Mason OH ... Mason Ohio did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They won the Ohio State Division 1 Championship, and then finished 5th at NXR Midwest ... They return 5 of 7 runners from the State Meet including 4 scorers ... I'm guessing they will find a #5 runner ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
132 - Efa Paschka - 10 -- (132 134 129
127 122 126 117 119)
115 - Bella Teply - 10 -- (114 114 116 111 113 107 112)
115 - Carlie Condit - 12 -- (117 114 113 108 102 94 92)
113 - Addison Stephens - 11 -- (103 114 114 112 108 95 97)
83 - Tessa Palmer - 10 -- (82 84 76 75 68)
79 - Abigail Slife - 12 -- (76 76 79 72 64 60)
76 - Dafne Lopez - 11 -- (78 70 74 68 60)
#31 ? - Newbury Park (SS) CA ... Newbury Park (SS) finished 6th in California State Meet Merge last year ... They return 6 of 7 runners, but lose their top runner to graduation ... Update - I was informed that Tiffany Sax is transferring - That would drop Newbury Park a number of places - But they would still have 6 girls with speed ratings above 100, and would still be a very decent team ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2022 seasonal ratings):
131 - Tiffany Sax - 11 -- (131 127 120
134 137 127) --- Transferring
123 - Sophia Grant - 10 -- (125 113 120 124 123 103 100)
111 - Maya Natarajan - 12 -- (114 100 109 105 84)
104 - Norah Lehto - 12 -- (103 106 94 89 70 71)
104 - Danielle Brotcke - 12 -- (101 94 105 111 92)
103 - Giselle Gonzalez - 12 -- (103 102 105 88 104 81 83)
100 - Elyse Grant - 12 -- (92 102)