National Pre-Season XC 2025
BOYS Teams - National 2025
Bill Meylan (July 31, 2025)
- Boys - Contending National Teams
- ... I do this each pre-season for my own interest and to gather background information
- Purpose
- ... Get a general idea where the national teams might rank overall
- Ranking Method
- ... General extension of the 2024 XC season into 2025
- ... Focus on cross country results ... modify selectively with track results
- ... Exclude teams with limited data or data that can't be guessed readily
- ... First Criteria - consider teams that competed in the NXN National & Regional races or RunningLane Championship
- ... Consider performance in championship races such as State Championships
- ... Initially, combine possible teams in a single race scenario (via speed ratings)
- ... Eliminate 5-10 teams with the worst scores in an iterative process
- ... Stop when 30 teams remain ... Manipulate scores and positions based on other factors
Once
the real season starts, I tend to ignore the pre-season
.
Remember ... this list is just an
informational starting point ... Real 2025 race results are what count.
Also Remember ... Most top boy's
teams contain a fair number of seniors, and those seniors graduate ...
Significant graduation from last year means projecting many of the teams
below requires guessing -
occasionally it's a "shot -in-the-dark guess".
NOTE ... Like last year, I manipulated selective "overall ratings" based on track performances
I did add some Regional Projections based on all teams I considered.
Pre-Season Projection - BOYS National Team Contenders - 2025
... Note - Scores are based on a race simulation of 35 teams.
Average
Scorer
Speed
School State Score Rating NXN Region
-------------------- ----- ----- -------- ----------
1 Niwot CO 98 186.36 Southwest
2 Jesuit (SJ) CA 235 181.50 California
3 Jesuit Portland OR 237 181.19 Northwest
4 Christian Brothers Acad NJ 240 181.54 Northeast
5 American Fork UT 294 178.61 Southwest
6 Southlake Carroll TX 310 180.02 South
7 Herriman UT 330 178.13 Southwest
8 Bridgeland TX 345 177.62 South
9 Coeur d'Alene ID 389 176.12 Northwest
10 Belen Jesuit Prep FL 390 176.80 Southeast
11 Jesuit New Orleans LA 419 175.29 South
12 Noblesville IN 436 174.96 Midwest
13 Matilda Torres (CS) CA 452 174.67 California
14 Arnold O. Beckman (SS) CA 470 173.83 California
15 Woodbridge (SS) CA 473 174.08 California
16 Downers Grove North IL 483 173.80 Midwest
17 Campolindo (NC) CA 483 173.28 California
18 Mercer Island WA 499 172.80 Northwest
19 Mountain View (CC) CA 502 172.56 California
20 Coronado CO 518 172.92 Southwest
21 Bloomington North IN 520 172.82 Midwest
22 Haddonfield Memorial HS NJ 521 172.32 Northeast
23 Columbus North IN 527 172.00 Midwest
24 Bozeman MT 539 171.89 Northwest
25 Plainfield North IL 543 172.11 Midwest
26 San Clemente (SS) CA 550 171.75 California
27 Broughton NC 553 171.38 Southeast
28 ML King (SS) CA 555 171.52 California
29 Mira Costa (SS) CA 557 171.31 California
30 McCallie School TN 565 171.02 South
|
The next group is basically in order following the list above ...
It is sorted by Average Speed Rating of the five scorers of each
team ... The list above does not contain any teams from the New
York region or Heartland region - some are noted below.
... Teams not listed were excluded for lack of XC data (my speed
ratings) or XC data not high enough for inclusion ... Track data
ALONE NOT used for ANY inclusions.
Austin Vandegrift TX South 171.00
Castle View CO Southwest 171.00
Crater OR Northwest 170.84
Plainfield South IL Midwest 170.60
Lincoln HS OR Northwest 170.44
Hoggard NC Southeast 170.24
St. Louis Univ High MO Midwest 170.08
Central Catholic OR Northwest 170.06
Mt. Prospect (Prospect) IL Midwest 170.04
Ayala (SS) CA California 170.01
Mason OH Midwest 169.97
Boulder CO Southwest 169.69
North Rockland NY New York 169.37 New York
Mead Senior WA Northwest 169.22
Thompson Valley CO Southwest 169.21
Beavercreek OH Midwest 169.21
Gilbert IA Heartland 169.10 Heartland
Cherokee HS NJ Northeast 169.01
Rock Bridge MO Midwest 168.99
Northville MI Midwest 168.58
The Woodlands TX South 168.46
Stevens Point WI Heartland 168.18 Heartland
Kalamazoo Central MI Midwest 168.10
Council Rock North PA Northeast 168.06
Fairport NY New York 167.93 New York
Orem UT Southwest 167.91
Knoxville Catholic TN Southeast 167.88
Lafayette KY Southeast 167.85
Lake Zurich IL Midwest 167.75
Mountain View UT Southwest 167.70
Carmel IN Midwest 167.70
Vestavia Hills HS AL Southeast 167.66
La Salle College HS PA Northeast 167.48
Bishop Hendricken RI Northeast 167.35
Catholic High Baton Rouge LA South 167.33
Northridge IN Midwest 167.16
Rocky Mountain ID Northwest 167.12
Wayzata MN Heartland 167.12 Heartland
Brownsburg IN Midwest 167.08
Cedar Falls IA Heartland 166.72
Saline MI Midwest 166.66
Trinity (Louisville) KY Southeast 166.59
Lincoln North Star NE Heartland 166.42 Heartland
Summit OR Northwest 166.34
Saratoga Springs NY New York 166.26 New York
Chaminade NY New York 166.13 New York
Galena NV Southwest 165.88
Hewitt-Trussville HS AL Southeast 165.86
Mountain View ID Northwest 165.66
Hoover AL Southeast 165.60
Eagle ID Northwest 165.52
Pinkerton Academy NH Northeast 165.42
Marquette WI Heartland 165.20
Some additional teams are listed in the Regional
Projections.
|
- Where did the scores come from?
- ... 2024 Seasonal Speed Ratings
- ... Manual manipulation based on selected track results
- ... Manual
manipulation based on Guessing
- General Comments for the Coming Season
- ... Top pre-season teams are typically highly-ranked teams from the previous year that return a solid core of good runners
- The top 10 teams in the rankings above all competed at NXN Nationals last year.
- Niwot is the defending NXN National Champion ... Niwot is ranked #1 because they return quality 5 runners from NXN
- As you go further down the ranking list above, the teams rate closer to each other (and the ranking order could be switched easily depending on ranking criteria or subjective opinion) ... If teams develop one or two new impact runners (and that does happen every year for some teams), those teams can move significantly up the rankings.
- Pre-season Ranking has some serious limitations:
- ... Transfers (in/out), runners moving, runners no longer competing, injuries/sickness are generally unknown to me and are not factored into these rankings ... just a few transfers were used here ... so there are likely some errors in the runners used to derive some team scores and speed rating averages.
- ... New runners may be known (and predictable) by people in local areas ... But not by me ... and it makes a difference.
- ... Pre-season requires guessing ... it might be right or wrong ... and that is OK.
Note - The overall incoming speed rating number (the first number for each runner below) is a based on last year's seasonal speed ratings (the numbers in the parentheses () that are in sequential order with the most recent first) ... PLUS manipulation by me looking at track performances for nearly all runners.
----------------------------------
#1 - Niwot CO ... Niwot is the defending NXN National Champion (they were 5th at NXN 2023 and 12th at NXN 2022) ... They finished 2nd to Herriman at NXR Southwest last year ... They were the Colorado State 5A Champion ... They return 5 of 7 runners from those races including the top 3 scorers ... Niwot enters the 2025 season as the top-rated team ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
189 -- Rocco Culpepper -- 12 -- ( 177 177
171 176 189 184 180 )
188 -- Hunter Robbie -- 12 -- ( 189 185 184 174 178 181 179 174 )
186 -- Quinn Sullivan -- 11 -- ( 187 188 172 174 181 175 171 174 )
186 -- Ryder Keeton -- 12 -- ( 174 187 184 176 180 177 173 173 )
183 -- Gabriel Marshall -- 12 -- ( 185 182 180 173 172 181 178 171 )
165 -- Garrett Sherrard -- 11 -- ( 160 159 152 157 156 148 )
163 -- Noah Barrios -- 10 -- ( 146 146 149 )
#2 - Jesuit (SJ) CA ... Jesuit (SJ) finished 11th at NXN Nationals last year and 1st in the California State Meet Merge ... They return 6 of 7 runners from those races (including the top 4 scorers) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
187 -- Isaac Abbott -- 12 -- ( 182 186
181 181 180 171 )
184 -- Kyle Jakary -- 12 -- ( 177 186 175 183 177 155 )
184 -- Drake Hoferer -- 12 -- ( 175 187 175 177 173 158 )
180 -- Matthew Ogilvie -- 11 -- ( 177 182 175 179 174 172 )
173 -- Lucas Alberts -- 11 -- ( 150 168 152 162 163 155 )
167 -- Rafael Jopson -- 11 -- ( 146 163 155 145 132 )
167 -- Ryan Tait -- 11 -- ( 165 158 158 )
#3 - Jesuit Portland OR ... Jesuit Portland has competed at multiple National races (and, as noted in previous years, they get credit for that) ... They finished 2nd to Couer d'Alene at NXR Northwest last year and then 16th at NXN Nationals... Jesuit Portland returns their top 4 scorers from NXR and the Oregon State Meet ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
191 -- Kellen Williams -- 12 -- ( 180 186
184 182 178 176 )
182 -- Matthew Wroblewski -- 12 -- ( 171 177 179 168 175 177 )
182 -- Jackson Welch -- 12 -- ( 161 180 178 177 175 173 )
175 -- Brayden Fletcher -- 12 -- ( 171 171 172 173 171 170 )
175 -- Liam Donnelly -- 12 -- ( 162 165 168 164 157 )
172 -- Jack Lavier -- 10 -- ( 160 161 157 )
154 -- Kai Keener -- 10 -- ( 133 )
#4 - Christian Brothers Academy NJ ... Christian Brothers Academy is a multi-time competitor at NXN Nationals (won in 2011 and were 2nd in 2013) ... They finished 5th at NXN Nationals last year (and 6th the year before) ... Christian Brothers won both NXR Northeast and New Jersey Meet Champions ... They lose 3 or 4 runners to graduation from those races (including some scorers), but CBA is typically a deep team with an ability to add runners or reload ... Four returning runners have an individual speed rating in the 180s (a great starting core) ... Several runners below have elevated overall ratings based on much improved track performances from the 2024 season ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
189 -- Luke Hnatt -- 12 -- ( 183 187 187
184 183 183 183 176 )
187 -- Gavin Schmitt -- 11 -- ( 184 182 183 184 179 182 177 178 )
185 -- Wyatt Falkowski -- 12 -- ( 170 181 178 175 173 167 172 156 )
184 -- Ryan Collins -- 12 -- ( 168 180 180 177 173 178 176 170 )
163 -- John Clark -- 10 -- ( 148 )
162 -- Liam Schmitt -- 10 -- ( 146 )
162 -- Justin Ventimiglia -- 10 -- ( 145 )
#5 - American Fork UT ... American Fork has competed very nicely at NXN Nationals on multiple occasions ... American Fork finished 2nd at NXN Nationals last year and the year before ... They finished 3rd at NXR Southwest (behind Herriman and Niwot)... They were 2nd (to Herriman) at the Utah State 6A Championship ... They graduated 4 of 7 runners from those races ... American Fork is usually a deep and talented team ... Incoming transfer (Grant Hejny from Lone Peak UT) has speed ratings in the 170s ... Track performances suggest XC improvement from some others ... Approximate representative American Fork returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
186 -- Austin Plewe -- 12 -- ( 182 181
174 168 165 152 )
185 -- Dallin Harrington -- 12 -- ( 177 175 164 163 160 164 163 166 161
)
176 -- Grant Hejny -- 12 -- ( 174 168 172 166 167 173 167 )
176 -- Chase Hejny -- 10 -- ( 171 166 166 167 162 167 )
170 -- David Webb -- 10 -- ( 152 146 146 149 141 142 )
161 -- Trey Nielsen -- 11 -- ( 160 159 157 153 149 144 150 )
157 -- Will Thresher -- 10 -- ( 147 156 157 159 160 )
#6 - Southlake Carroll TX ... Southlake Carroll has competed at NXN Nationals on multiple occasions ... They finished an excellent 4th at NXN last year (and 3rd the year before)... Southlake Carroll was the Texas State 6A Champs last year, and they won the NXR South Regional race ... They return 4 of 7 runners (losing some scorers, but return top runner Caden Leonard) ... Southlake Carroll usually has some depth ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
196 -- Caden Leonard -- 12 -- ( 197 194
194 191 186 )
184 -- Kai Gutierrez -- 10 -- ( 182 171 176 171 166 162 )
178 -- Jaxon Glenn -- 11 -- ( 169 172 171 173 171 )
175 -- Michael Fuller -- 12 -- ( 162 166 164 166 169 160 )
167 -- Grant Norgart -- 11 -- ( 168 167 163 165 )
162 -- Nathan Calvert -- 12 -- ( 152 154 155 155 )
160 -- Adhavan Palanivelrajan -- 12 -- ( 157 156 156 156 )
#7 -
Herriman UT
... Herriman finished 3rd at NXN Nationals last year (they
won NXN Nationals in 2023 and finished an excellent 3rd at NXN 2022)
... Herriman won the
NXR
Southwest race last year and the Utah State 6A race (beating American Fork
in both) ... They
lose 4 runners to graduation from those
races, BUT return a solid core of 3 runners including top
runner Jackson Spencer ... ... and I expect Herriman may
reload and they could better this ranking
... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with
available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
194 -- Jackson Spencer -- 12 -- ( 195 193
192 184 179 189 189 186 181 170 )
183 -- Eli Jarvis -- 12 -- ( 168 181 162 172 169 175 179 168 172 176 170
168 )
180 -- Caleb Brown -- 12 -- ( 179 170 170 172 163 167 164 158 155 144
155 150 )
169 -- Bryce Runnells -- 12 -- ( 159 170 167 166 )
165 -- Adam Wardle -- 12 -- ( 154 164 164 149 150 154 148 150 148 )
164 -- Elias Wardle -- 11 -- ( 160 153 149 144 )
158 -- Jordan Greensides -- 11 -- ( 149 155 158 147 143 136 150 148 146
)
#8 - Bridgeland TX ... Bridgeland finished 19th at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 3rd at the Texas State 6A Championship and 2nd at NXR South last year (both won by Southlake Carroll) ... They return 5 of 7 (but lose 2 scorers) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
186 -- Griffen Saacke -- 12 -- ( 168 184
177 175 )
180 -- Maddox McCallister -- 12 -- ( 168 177 176 170 )
175 -- Layton Carlisle -- 12 -- ( 154 168 173 169 )
174 -- Kyle Pawlak -- 12 -- ( 156 167 161 173 )
172 -- Nazim Benguedda -- 12 -- ( 175 157 )
167 -- Dean Rosales -- 11 -- ( 151 )
163 -- Braden Greenaway -- 12 -- ( 141 150 158 154 )
#9 - Coeur d'Alene ID ... Coeur d'Alene finished 9th at NXN Nationals last year (and 11th the year before)... They won NXR Northwest handily last year ... They return 5 of 7 runners from those races (but lose 2 good scorers) ... One returning runner had speed ratings in the mid-180 and other returners had a speed rating in the 170s (and that makes them a potential NXN team) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
188 -- Wyatt Carr -- 11 -- ( 175 186 182
183 180 183 177 )
176 -- Mitchell Rietze -- 12 -- ( 172 176 170 )
173 -- Rowan Henry -- 10 -- ( 169 173 171 153 156 )
172 -- Wyatt Morgenstern -- 10 -- ( 166 171 165 163 167 163 154 )
171 -- Gabe Heule -- 11 -- ( 163 171 171 161 162 162 163 )
154 -- Davey Dance -- 11 -- ( 155 151 146 )
133 -- Brayden Osterdock -- 12 -- ( 134 127 )
#10 - Belen Jesuit Prep
FL
... Belen Jesuit Prep finished 12th at NXN Nationals last year
(and they were 4th at NXN 2023 and 14th at NXN 2022)
... They handily won NXR Southeast after winning the Florida State 3A title ... They
return only 2 of their top 7 runners from those races, but the
top 2 do return and that's a good start for this team that has depth
... At the time of this writing, the Florida State Meet is on the same
day as NXR Southeast
... Approximate
representative returning speed ratings with
available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
192 -- Marcelo Mantecon -- 11 -- ( 192
188 192 185 194 188 187 )
182 -- Armando Cruz -- 11 -- ( 171 179 178 174 163 165 171 )
175 -- Nicholas Veloso -- 10 -- ( 161 158 155 )
168 -- Matthias Murrle -- 12 -- ( 162 158 155 )
167 -- Jack Michalak -- 10 -- ( 156 157 123 )
166 -- Davi Bodoh -- 11 -- ( 150 153 153 146 )
148 -- William Hernandez -- 12 -- ( 144 )
#11 - Jesuit New Orleans LA ... Jesuit New Orleans finished 4th at NXR South last year and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They won the Louisiana State D1 title ... Jesuit New Orleans returns 6 of 7 runners from their State Meet and NXR ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
184 -- Brady Monahan -- 12 -- ( 183 183
184 183 )
177 -- Nick Accardo -- 12 -- ( 177 )
175 -- Joe Accardo -- 12 -- ( 172 170 167 179 )
172 -- Connor Fanberg -- 12 -- ( 165 167 154 167 )
169 -- Nicholas Braud -- 11 -- ( 162 173 160 )
168 -- Andrew Nimmo -- 11 -- ( 164 166 163 167 )
164 -- Race Hughes -- 10 -- ( 157 166 )
#12 - Noblesville IN ... Noblesville finished 12th at NXR Midwest last year and 2nd at the Indiana State Meet ... They return 5 of 7 from the State Meet (including 3 scorers and the top 2) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
184 -- John Libs -- 12 -- ( 169 185 183
182 175 176 )
182 -- Banner Barnes -- 11 -- ( 174 178 170 171 170 )
177 -- Isaiah Vohs -- 10 -- ( 175 172 165 167 )
168 -- Jack Rush -- 11 -- ( 155 158 )
164 -- Cooper Click -- 12 -- ( 154 159 154 144 155 )
160 -- Noah Melton -- 12 -- ( 150 159 145 134 )
153 -- Matt Huseman -- 11 -- ( 142 140 )
#13 - Matilda Torres (CS) CA ... Matilda Torres (CS) finished 5th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return 5 of 7 from that race including the top 3 and another scorer ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
185 -- Benjamin Fernandez -- 12 -- ( 187
186 182 182 176 173 175 )
184 -- Hunter Hannah -- 12 -- ( 187 175 184 182 177 183 175 )
173 -- Alfonso Del Toro -- 12 -- ( 176 170 170 170 165 151 )
167 -- Antonio Santiago -- 10 -- ( 167 164 161 154 156 153 153 )
164 -- Angel Ramirez -- 12 -- ( 157 150 161 152 158 156 147 )
143 -- Michael Garcia -- 11 -- ( 136 142 145 )
136 -- Christopher Santos -- 11 -- ( 138 127 132 )
#14 - Arnold O. Beckman (SS) CA ... Arnold O. Beckman (SS) finished 7th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return 3 runners from the State Meet ... 2 returners had 2 speed ratings in the 180s and another in the mid-170s ... I was not expecting that many California teams would make my Top 30, but the numbers said otherwise ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
183 -- Mason Nguyen -- 12 -- ( 162 167
187 186 169 )
177 -- Ryan Barris -- 11 -- ( 170 171 181 181 167 )
176 -- Christian Weber -- 12 -- ( 172 174 175 162 )
168 -- Nolan Barajas -- 12 -- ( 161 157 159 )
165 -- Hassan Syed -- 11 -- ( 158 160 )
151 -- Samuel Forman -- 11 -- ( 151 151 )
#15 - Woodbridge (SS) CA ... Woodbridge (SS) finished 29th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return all 7 runners from the State Meet ... the top 2 returners had speed ratings in the 180s, and potential XC improvement based on track results placed Woodbridge (SS) on my list ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
186 -- Aidan Antonio -- 11 -- ( 178 185
180 175 183 179 )
178 -- Aiden Zavala -- 12 -- ( 172 174 181 171 178 )
177 -- Inban Kathiravan -- 12 -- ( 167 171 162 149 156 163 )
165 -- Thomas Yohn -- 11 -- ( 157 151 159 152 )
163 -- Iniyan Kathiravan -- 12 -- ( 146 155 )
160 -- Joey Yamamoto -- 10 -- ( 159 157 156 147 155 )
154 -- Sean Hohman -- 11 -- ( 149 149 150 )
#16 - Downers Grove North IN ... Downers Grove North finished 6th at NXN Nationals last year (and were 7th at NXN 2023 and 11th at NXN 2022) ... They won NXR Midwest handily again ... Downers Grove North returns only 2 of 7 runners from those races, but do return 2 runners with speed ratings in the 190s and 180s ... other returners showed improvement during track, and they get credit for making NXN multiple times ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
190 -- Philip Cupial -- 12 -- ( 191 180
193 190 187 181 179 171 )
182 -- Will Surratt -- 12 -- ( 178 179 177 182 174 171 162 )
167 -- Ryan Morton -- 11 -- ( 160 152 149 )
167 -- Joshua Farrero -- 12 -- ( 151 146 142 )
164 -- Steve Cox -- 11 -- ( 164 155 150 )
164 -- Brennan Hardy -- 12 -- ( 149 148 )
160 -- Isaak Stein -- 11 -- ( 148 137 )
#17 - Campolindo (NC) CA ... Campolindo (NC) finished 13th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return 5 of the top 6 from the State Meet, including the top 3 ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
182 -- Clark Gregory -- 11 -- ( 179 )
174 -- Caden Ehrhorn -- 10 -- ( 173 174 )
171 -- Gavin Gunn -- 11 -- ( 164 172 )
170 -- Cody De la Cruz -- 12 -- ( 170 156 )
169 -- Jack Durden -- 11 -- ( 160 158 )
161 -- Drew Shogan -- 11 -- ( 161 )
150 -- Taejin Chung -- 12 -- ( 150 )
#18 - Mercer Island WA ... Mercer Island finished 7th at NXR Northwest last year and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They won the Washington State Meet 3A race ... They return 6 of 7 from these races, but lose their top runner ... some decent track performances suggest improvement with some returners ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
184 -- Bodie Thomas -- 12 -- ( 184 182
171 184 178 172 )
179 -- Matthew Lawrence -- 12 -- ( 170 175 171 168 168 180 )
171 -- Connor Ward -- 12 -- ( 163 164 155 158 159 156 )
167 -- Charlie Staddon-Smith -- 12 -- ( 164 166 162 156 166 172 )
162 -- Matthew Greer -- 12 -- ( 149 143 153 )
161 -- Silas Rennie -- 12 -- ( 123 140 155 )
158 -- Bridge Gerry -- 11 -- ( 157 158 150 149 151 153 )
#19 - Mountain View (CC) CA ... Mountain View (CC) finished 17th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return 5 of the top 6 from the State Meet (losing the #2 scorer) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
178 -- Yuval Goldberg -- 11 -- ( 176 172
173 167 )
177 -- Ryan Chen -- 12 -- ( 171 175 169 167 168 )
174 -- Deven Koppala -- 11 -- ( 163 166 169 167 )
169 -- Rowan Gentin -- 12 -- ( 169 170 167 164 160 )
164 -- Dean Caringella -- 12 -- ( 163 160 162 156 159 )
146 -- Jordan Landaverde -- 12 -- ( 144 147 )
#20 - Coronado CO ... Coronado finished 8th at NXR Southwest and did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 2nd in the Colorado State 4A State Meet race ... They return 4 of 7 runners from the State Meet ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
190 -- Oliver Horton -- 11 -- ( 186 194
185 177 189 182 182 )
180 -- Xzavier Campos -- 12 -- ( 180 170 169 )
172 -- John Stanczak -- 12 -- ( 175 163 164 156 )
166 -- Braxton Oliver -- 11 -- ( 163 167 164 156 158 157 )
157 -- Isaac Sanchez -- 12 -- ( 140 131 )
150 -- Landon Stamper -- 11 -- ( 150 147 143 148 143 140 )
#21 - Bloomington North IN ... Bloomington North finished 4th at NXR Midwest and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They won the Indiana State Meet and return 4 of 7 runners (3 scorers with speed ratings of 183 to 170) ... Some guessed XC improvement based on track results got them ranked here ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
186 -- Jacob Mitchell -- 12 -- ( 174 171
183 179 172 164 )
183 -- Caelan D'Onofrio -- 12 -- ( 173 176 179 178 161 164 )
175 -- Caleb Winders -- 12 -- ( 168 170 168 143 149 )
162 -- Jake Gentry -- 12 -- ( 154 158 157 158 151 )
159 -- Jackson Walker -- 11 -- ( 151 145 128 )
148 -- Tom Keith -- 12 -- ( 123 )
#22 - Haddonfield Memorial NJ ... Haddonfield Memorial HS finished 4th at NXR Northeast and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They finished 2nd at the New Jersey Meet of Champions ... They return 5 of the top 6 runners ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
181 -- Benjamin Andrus -- 12 -- ( 179 177
181 166 171 )
175 -- Ryan Gibson -- 12 -- ( 172 170 175 163 172 )
174 -- Peter Simpson -- 12 -- ( 167 173 173 170 167 )
173 -- Luke Andresen -- 12 -- ( 171 171 171 174 173 )
158 -- Aaron Keith -- 12 -- ( 156 155 158 154 145 144 )
157 -- Brandon Stoner -- 12 -- ( 139 153 )
150 -- Andrew Blum -- 11 -- ( 144 154 144 144 )
#23 - Columbus North IN ... Columbus North finished 10th at NXR Midwest and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They finished 6th at the Indiana State Meet ... They return 3 of the top 6, but get some credit for improved track performances ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
180 -- Jace Works -- 12 -- ( 177 169 179
173 170 )
175 -- Denton Sluder -- 12 -- ( 169 167 164 128 )
171 -- Logan Vanzant -- 12 -- ( 164 165 154 171 152 )
168 -- Justin Reckers -- 11 -- ( 163 160 160 )
166 -- Graham Pumphrey -- 11 -- ( 160 155 )
161 -- Sam Steinmetz -- 12 -- ( 153 149 )
159 -- Joseph Day -- 10 -- ( 150 146 )
#24 - Bozemen MT ... Bozeman finished 6th at NXR Northwest and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... Bozeman won the Montana State AA race last year ... they return 6 of 7 runners from those races including the top 3 ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
180 -- Taylor Neil -- 11 -- ( 175 178 172
172 )
180 -- Miles Halvorsen -- 12 -- ( 179 173 165 167 )
175 -- Christian Landers -- 12 -- ( 176 173 171 169 )
165 -- Branlin Foote -- 11 -- ( 160 165 165 150 )
159 -- Jacob Posdon -- 11 -- ( 149 150 143 144 )
155 -- Ezekiel Donoghue -- 12 -- ( 157 140 139 )
154 -- Callahan Waters -- 12 -- ( 154 153 )
#25 - Plainfield North IL ... Plainfield North finished 4th at NXR Midwest and did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 2nd at the Illinois State 3A race last ... They return 6 of 7 runners, including 4 scorers ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available (2024 seasonal ratings]:
184 -- Thomas Czerwinski -- 12 -- ( 163
183 183 180 178 144 165 )
178 -- Aidan Connors -- 12 -- ( 168 173 178 172 170 169 162 )
172 -- James Maso -- 12 -- ( 173 175 168 166 156 154 )
164 -- Dominic Frigo -- 11 -- ( 164 163 158 160 158 )
162 -- Sean Jansen -- 12 -- ( 161 162 155 152 148 )
160 -- Gavin Hall -- 12 -- ( 156 165 152 155 )
157 -- Aidan Kyrychenko -- 12 -- ( 157 153 147 151 )
#26 - San Clemente (SS) CA ... San Clemente (SS) finished 20th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return all 7 runners from the State Meet ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
181 -- Yohan Anderson -- 11 -- ( 180 180
172 181 173 177 170 167 )
181 -- Mattheus Dos Santos -- 11 -- ( 181 180 170 172 172 169 168 164 )
168 -- Magnus Johansson -- 11 -- ( 168 169 160 169 166 166 156 159 )
166 -- Erik Troester -- 11 -- ( 165 168 163 161 161 164 157 153 )
164 -- Conner Jaurigue -- 11 -- ( 161 157 151 160 162 )
163 -- Liam Sidhu -- 12 -- ( 160 152 149 153 154 149 151 146 )
155 -- Cody Coppa -- 12 -- ( 153 )
#27 - Broughton NC ... Broughton finished 3rd at NXR Southeast and did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... They finished 4th at the North Carolina State 4A race last year ... They return 5 of their top 6 runners from those races ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
178 -- Cam Kuss -- 11 -- ( 169 172 145
163 155 )
177 -- Sam Wooten -- 12 -- ( 171 176 165 160 155 )
174 -- Charlie Slawinski -- 11 -- ( 173 168 169 159 167 )
169 -- Ben DeGroff -- 12 -- ( 166 165 142 156 159 )
159 -- Hayes Green -- 12 -- ( 145 158 146 )
148 -- Miles Hubbard -- 12 -- ( 139 151 )
#28 - ML King (SS) ... ML King (SS) did not compete as a team in the California State Meet and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They finished 9th at California CIF Southern Section Division 1 Championship race ... They return 5 of 7 runners from that race ... Their top 2 returners had a speed rating in the 180s and another runner in the mid-170s ... that core of 3 runners was apparently high enough to get ranked using my pre-season methodology ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
188 -- Maximo Zavaleta -- 12 -- ( 185 186
184 188 186 180 )
178 -- Brad Quezada -- 12 -- ( 160 178 180 161 170 )
173 -- Logan Carlson -- 12 -- ( 164 173 175 168 )
164 -- John Sosa -- 11 -- ( 158 161 142 152 146 )
156 -- Smooth Watkins -- 12 -- ( 152 158 150 )
150 -- Marc Gonzalez -- 12 -- ( 148 146 )
145 -- Frank Stewart -- 12 -- ( 145 )
#29 - Mira Costa (SS) CA ... Mira Costa (SS) finished 10th in the California State Meet Merge and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They return 5 of the top 6 finishers from that race (including the top 2) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
179 -- Carson Ehman -- 12 -- ( 176 173
175 170 )
176 -- Krish Desai -- 12 -- ( 175 177 174 173 )
172 -- Ryan Burger -- 12 -- ( 172 166 152 165 )
165 -- Luuk Van Meurs -- 12 -- ( 163 168 158 163 )
164 -- Sean Liu -- 11 -- ( 165 163 156 )
163 -- JT Kaplan -- 12 -- ( 163 163 160 )
158 -- Collin Tarnay -- 12 -- ( 158 )
#30 - McCallie TN ... McCallie School finished 5th at NXR Southeast and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They finished 2nd (to Knoxville Catholic) at Tennessee State DII-AA race ... They return 5 of 7 runners (but lost their top runner) ... To make up for losing a top runner, McCallie got a top transfer (Andrew Beroset from from Gulf Breeze Florida) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2024 seasonal ratings]:
186 -- Andrew Beroset -- 11 -- ( 172 184
179 163 176 )
171 -- Henry Webb -- 12 -- ( 167 168 163 166 162 )
167 -- Taylor Combs -- 12 -- ( 164 164 157 140 )
166 -- Ian Jacobs -- 12 -- ( 167 152 168 )
165 -- John Roe -- 12 -- ( 162 166 164 162 160 )
161 -- Luke Bowen -- 12 -- ( 150 140 163 159 154 )
152 -- Matthew Gabbert -- 12 -- ( 153 150 148 )
NOTE ..... The scores above indicate that many teams rate very closely ... The positions are just a guess at one point in time before the cross country season starts.
Pre-season ranking is part data and
part "educated guessing", and at the national level, I use significant
amount of guessing ... margins of error and uncertainty is large
... My "guesses" are just one guy's opinion
... Some
Regional Projection lists are
available at the bottom of this page to show the teams I had enough data
to consider.