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National Pre-Season XC 2026 GIRLS Teams - National 2026 Bill Meylan (July 29, 2026) |
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Once
the real season starts, I tend to ignore the pre-season Remember ... this list is just an
informational starting point ... Real 2026 race results are what count. NOTE ...
I manipulated limited "overall ratings" based on track
performances. I did add some Regional Projections based on all teams I considered.
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| National GIRLS Teams 2026 | ||
Pre-Season Projection - Girls National Team Contenders - 2026 ... Note - Scores are based on a race simulations of 30 teams
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| Comments on the TOP 30 Teams: | ||
| Note - The overall incoming speed rating number (the first number for each runner below) is a based on last year's seasonal speed ratings (the numbers in the parentheses () that are in sequential order with the most recent first) ... PLUS manipulation by me. ---------------------------------- #1 - Union Catholic Reg NJ ... Union Catholic finished 3rd at NXN Nationals last year (and 10th in both 2024 and 2023) ... They won NXR Northeast handily ... They return 6 of 7 runners from NXN losing the #5 scorer... Union Catholic enters the 2026 XC season as the top-rated team ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 152 -- Paige Sheppard -- 12 -- ( 152 149
140 152 146 147 150 148 ) #2 - Lone Peak UT ... Lone Peak finished 4th at NXN Nationals last year, 2nd in 2024 and 4th at NXN in both 2023 and 2022 ... So they race extremely well at NXN ... Lone Peak graduated 3 runners from last year's NXN team (the #1, #3, and #7 scorers) ... However, they are a deep team and reportedly they got a top transfer from American Forks (Mae Glassford, noted below) ... Lone Peak is a serious contender to win NXN in 2026 based on their recent performance record at NXN.... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 133 -- Maya Bybee -- 12 -- ( 130 131 132
136 134 133 130 ) #3 - Buchanan (CS) CA ... Buchanan did not have their best race at NXN last year and finished 17th ... Buchanan finished 3rd at NXN Nationals in 2024 (after finishing 8th at NXN 2023 and 3rd at NXN 2022), so they are usually very good at the NXN course ... Buchanan returns 6 of 7 runners from NXN losing just the #3 scorer ... Buchanan races well at NXN and they have shown an ability to reload with some good new runners, and that makes them a real contender to podium at NXN ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 133 -- Brooklyn Buckley -- 11 -- ( 125
135 130 135 129 128 ) #4 - Niwot CO ... Niwot finished an excellent 2nd at NXN last year after finishing 3rd at NXR Southwest ... Niwot finished a very good 2nd to Air Academy at NXN Nationals 2023 and 2nd to Saratoga Springs at NXN Nationals in 2022, so Niwot can race very well at NXN ... They return 4 of 7 runners from NXN (losing the #1 and #2 scorers) ... But Niwot has good team depth and could re-load enough to be competitive ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 130 -- Tereza Koudelka -- 10 -- ( 131 129
114 115 121 91 111 95 105 98 ) #5 - Barrington IL ... Barrington finished 6th at NXR Midwest last year, but were missing their top runner (Mia Sirois) due to injury ... They return 5 of 7 runners including their top 3 (and now add Mia Sirois) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 156 -- Mia Sirois -- 12 -- ( 158 155 153
144 134 (2024) ) #6 - JSerra Catholic (SS) CA ... JSerra Catholic finished 21st at NXN Nationals last year (they were 16th at NXN in 2024, 13th at NXN in 2023 and 21st at NXN in 2022) ... They finished 3rd in the California State Meet Merge last year ... JSerra Catholic returns 6 of 7 runners from those races (losing 1 scorer) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 134 -- Kaia Streadbeck -- 11 -- ( 128 136
) #7 - Sehome WA ... Sehome finished 10th at NXN Nationals last year after winning NXR Northwest ... They return 6 of 7 runners including their top 5 scorers ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]:
136 -- Kjirsten Ludeman -- 11 -- ( 134 137 134 137 129 ) #8 - Ann Arbor Pioneer MI ... Ann Arbor Pioneer finished 18th at NXN Nationals last year after winning NXR Midwest ... They return 6 of 7 runners losing just one scorer ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 167 -- Natasza Dudek -- 11 -- ( 169 168
165 165 157 156 156 154 144 ) #9 - American Fork UT ... American Fork finished a very good 7th at NXN Nationals last year after finishing 4th at NXR Southwest ... They return all 7 runners from those races, BUT apparently lose one runner to transfer (Mae Glassford to Lone Peak) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 136 -- Skye Jensen -- 12 -- ( 135 136 137
133 129 128 131 135 128 ) #10 - Flower Mound TX ... Flower Mound finished 9th at NXN Nationals last year (and 14th at NXN 2024, 17th at NXN 2023 and 6th at NXN 2022) ... Flower Mound won NXR South ... They return 5 of 7 runners from those races (but lose 2 scorers) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 138 -- Adeline Bennett -- 12 -- ( 121 143
138 129 134 140 127 ) #11 - El Toro (SS) CA ... El Toro did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 8th in the California State Meet Merge, but return all 7 runners ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 129 -- Lilly Schroeder -- 11 -- ( 130 128
125 116 116 ) 140 -- Alyssa Gutierrez -- 10 -- ( 141
134 139 136 138 ) #13 - Boulder CO ... Boulder did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 6th at NXR Southwest and 4th at the competitive Colorado State Meet ... they return 5 of 7 runners from those races (losing 1 or 2 scorers) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 132 -- Calia Vaughn -- 11 -- ( 132 132
123 128 134 132 ) #14 - Billerica Memorial MA ... Billerica Memorial did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 8th at NXR Northeast and 2nd at the Massachusetts State Meet ... they return all 7 runners from those races (a few track results may suggest some improvement) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 127 -- Kylie Donahue -- 11 -- ( 122 126
117 111 ) 138 -- Jane Conrad -- 11 -- ( 141 134 128
131 ) #16 - Ridgewood HS NJ ... Ridgewood did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 4th at NXR Northeast and 2nd at the New Jersey Meet of Champ ... they return all 7 runners from those races ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 137 -- Katherine Keating -- 12 -- ( 133
140 129 125 ) #17 - James W. Robinson VA ... James W. Robinson finished 4th at NXR Southeast and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... James W. Robinson won the Virginia State Class 6 race ... they return 5 of 7 runners including the top 3 ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 131 -- Karina Bird -- 12 -- ( 133 127 123
127 128 121 ) #18 - Pella IA ... Pella finished 3rd at NXR Heartland and did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... Pella won the Iowa State 3A Meet ... they returns 5 of 7 runners losing their #1 scorer ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 128 -- Elsie Brenneman -- 12 -- ( 131 125
125 122 111 118 118 ) 142 -- Annabel Pollert -- 12 -- ( 145 140
137 128 139 139 135 135 134 ) #20 - Fort Wayne Concordia Lutheran IN ... Fort Wayne Concordia Lutheran finished 3rd at NXR Midwest last year and did not compete at NXN Nationals ... They finished 2nd at the Indiana State Meet and return their 5 of 7 runners losing 2 scorers (but returning their top 2) ... They also finished 2nd at the RunningLane XC Championship ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 144 -- Daphne Weller -- 11 -- ( 145 142
141 144 140 134 118 ) #21 - Waukee Northwest IA ... Waukee Northwest did not compete at NXN Nationals last year ... they won the Iowa State 4A Meet ... they return all 7 runners from that race ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 131 -- Laney Sundet -- 10 -- ( 133 123
121 115 117 ) #22 - Bethlehem NY ... Bethlehem finished 20th at NXN Nationals last year ... Bethlehem was 5th at NXN 2024, 11th at NXN 2023 and 17th at NXN 2022 ... They were 2nd at NXR New York last year (lost by 1 point) ... They return 5 of 7 runners from NXN Nationals and NXR (losing one scorer) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 140 -- Sophia Chromczak -- 10 -- ( 134
135 140 140 146 143 146 137 ) #23 - The Classical Academy CO ... The Classical Academy did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 7th at NXR Southwest and 1st at the Colorado State Meet (Class 3A) ... they return all 7 runners from those races ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 134 -- Vivian Jack -- 12 -- ( 136 134 125
135 124 124 ) #24 - Mira Costa (SS) CA ... Mira Costa (SS) finished 13th at NXN Nationals last year ...They finished 2nd in the California State Meet Merge, and return 4 of 7 runners losing their #1 and #5 scorers ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 127 -- Evelyn Ursini -- 11 -- ( 124 127
127 130 124 ) #25 - Katy TX ... Katy did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 3rd at NXR South and 3rd at the Texas State Meet (Class 6A) ... they return all 7 runners from those races ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 126 -- Vienna Fish -- 11 -- ( 119 130 124
106 111 ) #26 - Bloomer WI ... Bloomer did not compete at NXN or NXR Heartland last year ... They finished 3rd at the Wisconsin State Meet (Division 1), but I think they were missing one their top runners (If so, the numbers indicate Bloomer could be ranked) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 122 -- Aliya Hartman -- 12 -- ( 123 113 ) #27 - Lake Zurich IL ... Lake Zurich did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 7th at NXR Midwest and 5th at the Illinois State Meet (Class 3A) ... they return their top 5 runners from those races ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 125 -- Avery Muhr -- 12 -- ( 120 126 ) #28 - Arlington Heights (Hersey) IL ... Arlington Heights (Hersey) did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 4th at the Illinois State Meet (Class 3A) ... they return 6 of 7 runners including the top 4 ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 126 -- Graceleen Mabry -- 10 -- ( 124 129
119 123 107 ) #29 - Mt. Prospect (Prospect) IL ... Mt. Prospect (Prospect) did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 5th at NXR Midwest and 2nd at the Illinois State Meet (Class 3A) ... they return 5 of 7 runners (including 4 who were freshmen) ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]:
126 -- Adelaide Galla -- 10 -- ( 124 126 120 114 ) #30 - Bentonville AR ... Bentonville did not compete at NXN last year ... They finished 5th at NXR South ... They won the Arkansas State Meet (Class 6A) beating Rogers ... Bentonville returns 6 of 7 runners losing just one scorer ... Approximate representative returning speed ratings with available [2025 seasonal ratings]: 133 -- Flannery O'Daniel -- 10 -- (127
132 136 132 127 ) |
| Girls Pre-Season Regional Projections 2026 |
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** Team Scores calculated using just the teams from that Region ...
The teams listed below are the ONLY teams I considered, either due to
time constraints and/or lack of readily available data (meaning the
speed ratings needed to be in my databases already) ... So some good
teams will get excluded.
Average
Estimated Scorer
Team Speed
St Score Rating NXN Region
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California
Buchanan (CS) CA 54 127.98 California
JSerra Catholic (SS) CA 56 127.87 California
El Toro (SS) CA 100 122.43 California
St. Francis (SJ) CA 110 120.85 California
Mira Costa (SS) CA 133 117.22 California
Claremont (SS) CA 145 115.83 California
Sage Creek (SD) CA 145 116.04 California
Great Oak (SS) CA 149 115.47 California
Heartland
Pella IA 111 117.60 Heartland
Waukee Northwest IA 127 117.58 Heartland
Bloomer WI 137 116.35 Heartland
Harrisburg SD 145 121.57 Heartland
Neenah WI 145 115.34 Heartland
Saint Michael-Albertville MN 179 112.74 Heartland
Edina MN 192 110.57 Heartland
Manhattan KS 218 108.31 Heartland
Ankeny Centennial HS IA 219 108.95 Heartland
Pleasant Valley IA 226 108.93 Heartland
Century ND 228 112.06 Heartland
Waconia MN 229 107.68 Heartland
Wayzata MN 241 108.30 Heartland
Johnston IA 268 105.07 Heartland
Hopkins MN 274 103.74 Heartland
Midwest
Barrington IL 93 129.09 Midwest
Ann Arbor Pioneer MI 155 128.00 Midwest
Lake Zurich IL 176 116.89 Midwest
Arlington Heights(Hersey) IL 176 116.21 Midwest
Fort Wayne Concordia Luth IN 181 119.40 Midwest
Mt. Prospect (Prospect) IL 186 116.11 Midwest
Carmel IN 228 119.38 Midwest
Hudsonville MI 245 112.74 Midwest
Chicago (Lane) IL 247 111.65 Midwest
Winnetka (New Trier) IL 252 111.67 Midwest
Ann Arbor Skyline MI 265 110.50 Midwest
Edwardsville (H.S.) IL 273 110.62 Midwest
Northville MI 275 112.37 Midwest
Plainfield (North) IL 287 111.81 Midwest
Chicago (St. Ignatius) IL 301 111.43 Midwest
Homestead IN 303 109.41 Midwest
Holland Christian MI 310 109.40 Midwest
Glen Ellyn(Glenbard West) IL 321 108.00 Midwest
New York (see NY Girls Projection Page)
Bethlehem NY 200 118.67 New York
Saratoga Springs NY 210 113.05 New York
Guilderland NY 235 109.92 New York
Northport NY 330 New York
Ward Melville NY 340 New York
Shenendehowa NY 345 New York
Sayville NY 345 New York
Ithaca NY 375 New York
Liverpool NY 400 New York
Cornwall NY 415 New York
*** (NY scores based on a 37 team simulation)
Northeast
Union Catholic NJ 39 133.83 Northeast
Billerica Memorial MA 86 119.23 Northeast
Ridgewood HS NJ 88 119.62 Northeast
Lexington MA 93 119.91 Northeast
Penn Charter PA 114 118.44 Northeast
Cumberland RI 143 112.99 Northeast
Norwin PA 151 109.40 Northeast
La Salle Academy RI 163 107.01 Northeast
Northwest
Sehome WA 64 126.04 Northwest
Rocky Mountain ID 111 115.99 Northwest
Bozeman MT 122 114.49 Northwest
Seattle Preparatory Sch WA 132 112.00 Northwest
Mercer Island WA 137 114.44 Northwest
Gallatin MT 145 110.65 Northwest
Jesuit Portland OR 145 112.40 Northwest
Crater OR 151 112.35 Northwest
Lincoln HS OR 183 110.58 Northwest
Olympia WA 185 105.23 Northwest
Timberline (Boise) ID 187 104.88 Northwest
South
Flower Mound TX 55 122.16 South
Katy TX 70 116.67 South
Bentonville AR 79 116.58 South
Edmond Memorial OK 101 112.32 South
The Woodlands TX 105 111.32 South
Rogers AR 113 110.72 South
Southlake Carroll TX 117 109.76 South
Southeast
James W. Robinson VA 104 118.21 Southeast
Cardinal Gibbons NC 116 116.57 Southeast
Brentwood TN 122 113.58 Southeast
Bishop Kenny HS FL 132 111.99 Southeast
Blacksburg VA 140 111.24 Southeast
Hanover VA 142 111.91 Southeast
North Lincoln NC 149 110.17 Southeast
Episcopal Sch Jacksonvill FL 152 110.21 Southeast
Georgrtown VisitationPrep DC 159 114.57 Southeast
Marietta GA 172 109.67 Southeast
Marvin Ridge NC 173 111.32 Southeast
Southwest
Lone Peak UT 46 128.50 Southwest
Niwot CO 84 122.76 Southwest
American Fork UT 108 119.82 Southwest
Boulder CO 116 119.44 Southwest
The Classical Academy CO 128 117.62 Southwest
Heritage CO 143 115.34 Southwest
Air Academy CO 157 114.49 Southwest
ThunderRidge CO 157 114.71 Southwest
Fairview CO 191 109.60 Southwest
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