NXN Boys & Girls Team Projections for 2022

Purpose  ... The purpose of these projections is to get a General Idea of team strength based on speed ratings ... The purpose is NOT to predict exactly where each and every runners will finish (that is impossible no matter how good the data) ... I want ONLY an overall idea of where teams MIGHT finish relative to each other.

These projections could be considered similar to the "Morning Line" of a horse race ... I'm trying to provide information to bettors.

Speed is only one factor used in handicapping races and speed can be inconsistent for some runners.

Three Team Scores are posted below:
 .. (1) The Overall Morning-Line Team Scores ... a combination of the overall ratings listed below PLUS some manual manipulation (based on historical trends or current information) to try and projection what "bettors" might actual consider a starting point for wagering ... Personally, I might actually bet somewhat differently.
 .. (2) Team Scores Using NXR Regional Speed Ratings
 .. (3) Team Scores Using State Meet Speed Rating

Initial projections posted on November 30, 2022  ...  ACTUAL SCORES ADDED Dec 3, 2022

 

                                                               ------------------------------------
 ----------------------------------------------------                 Team Scores Based on
   Team Scores Based on NXN Regional Speed Ratings                  State Meet Speed Ratings
 ----------------------------------------------------          ------------------------------------

 1   Newbury Park (SS)      CA     53    (California)          1   Newbury Park (SS)      CA     54
 2   Crater                 OR    184    (Northwest )          2   Jesuit Portland        OR    159
 3   Hinsdale Central       IL    218    (Midwest   )          3   Christian Brothers Ac  NJ    184
 4   Great Oak (SS)         CA    219    (California)          4   Great Oak (SS)         CA    202
 5   Jesuit Portland        OR    223    (Northwest )          5   Crater                 OR    242
 6   Southlake Carroll      TX    251    (South     )          6   Mountain View          UT    246
 7   Farragut               TN    258    (Southeast )          7   San Clemente (SS)      CA    247
 8   Christian Brothers Ac  NJ    259    (Northeast )          8   Southlake Carroll      TX    260
 9   San Clemente (SS)      CA    262    (California)          9   Wayzata                MN    261
 10  Plainfield South       IL    264    (Midwest   )          10  Granada (NC)           CA    277
 11  Belen Jesuit Prep      FL    271    (Southeast )          11  Hinsdale Central       IL    283
 12  American Fork          UT    273    (Southwest )          12  Plainfield South       IL    288
 13  Wayzata                MN    287    (Heartland )          13  American Fork          UT    294
 14  Granada (NC)           CA    309    (California)          14  Belen Jesuit Prep      FL    310
 15  Downers Grove North    IL    317    (Midwest   )          15  Stevens Point          WI    323
 16  Herriman               UT    327    (Southwest )          16  Farragut               TN    343
 17  Stevens Point          WI    344    (Heartland )          17  Grapevine              TX    351
 18  Episcopal Academy      PA    351    (Northeast )          18  Downers Grove North    IL    375
 19  Mountain View          UT    386    (Southwest )          19  Episcopal Academy      PA    375
 20  Corning                NY    394    (New York  )          20  Corning                NY    403
 21  St. Anthony's          NY    423    (New York  )          21  Herriman               UT    415
 22  Grapevine              TX    433    (South     )          22  St. Anthony's          NY    474

    ** Note - California State Meet was used for BOTH the NXR Regional ratings above and
                  for "State Meet" ratings above since no NXR meet in California.

		

Pre-Race Comments ... All previous 16 years of NXN (Team Nationals) have demonstrated that most teams will NOT have their best race of the year at NXN ... Many runners will have speed ratings lower than the individual runner projections below (this is expected because national competition on a new course is a new type of experience for many runners ... add in traveling, time-changes, etc) ... Most runners perform best on familiar courses (typically local courses for them) ... The projected ratings are just a vehicle for projecting relative team scores.

The overall morning-line team scores projected above are based (in part) on the individual overall speed ratings below ... There were instances where I needed to make a "best guess" concerning ratings for individual runners with inconsistent speed ratings to approximate an overall-combined rating ... and incorporate possible inconsistencies into final projected team scores.

Many runners are not consistent from race-to-race (runners have good races, bad races and average races) ... That's why predicting a team score based of any one race MAY be misleading in terms of actual team ability ... I prefer a series of races (whenever possible) to identify runners with big variations in performance ... Then I need to figure-out how to handle these variations in predicting the next race (Handicapping can be both fun and frustrating) ... Notice the difference in team scores from NXN regional ratings and State Meet ratings above.

General Comments:

• The Morning-Line at most Horse Tracks considers three factors:
•  ... Past performance history of each horse
•  ... An Opinion of what people are likely to bet
•  ... Handicapping Opinion of the person making the morning-line.

Newbury Park is the odds-on favorite in the Boys Race at NXN Nationals 2022 ... No surprise there.

Could Newbury Park Lose? ... It seems unlikely, but horse bettors know that special odds-on favorites do lose on rare occasions ... For Newbury Park to lose, it will likely require some "off" races by more than one scoring runner ... My computer race simulations show some possibilities.

Computer Race Simulations (a brief explanation) ... I take each runner's seasonal speed ratings (see ratings below) and use them to run a statistical "monte carlo" analysis (a mathematical technique that predicts possible outcomes of an uncertain event) ... I typically run 100,000 race simulations randomly selecting one speed rating for each runner in each simulated race ... I do runs using just the ratings I have or I wrap a statistical distribution around the sequential ratings of each runner and randomly select one point on that distribution (preferred) ... The results of each simulated race is compiled.

For the Newbury Park guys, I have only four or five seasonal speed ratings for each runner ... and for several of the top runners (Lex & Leo Young, Aaron Sahlman), they did not run all-out at least twice ... and that simulates off races ... Depending on my simulation strategy, Newbury Park could lose up to 5-10% of compiled race results ... If I exclude Aaron Sahlman's 173 rating, the percentage drops ... Remember these are unlikely probabilities, but show why some people bet against huge favorites.

I think it's a toss-up with a bunch of teams to make the podium ... This could be a real good betting race for picking 2nd and 3rd.

NXN Nationals is a special race because all 22 teams are top national teams ... There are no poor teams in this race ... Ever year I get comments from fans of teams projected to finish at or near the bottom ... "How can you pick a team this good to finish that bad" ... Well, NXN is like a top Stakes-Grade horse race where all the horses are really good ... and sometimes it is harder to pick who will finish last than who will finish first.

As noted above, some of the teams are going to run "sub-par" creating an opportunity for other teams ... This "sub-par" factor applies equally to the girl's race.

Guessing which teams will run sub-par at NXN is exactly that - It's a Guess ... and predicting the exact order of finish is a "crap-shoot" to a certain degree .... Note: I expect the top three scoring teams may have lower scores than the predicted scores (that typically happens because many teams have "off" races which raises their score and lowers the score of teams that do run well).

Remember ... Teams performing at (or above) performance levels getting them to NXN Nationals typically jump up significantly in projected finish-positions.

Some Individual Team Comments:

Newbury Park CA ... Newbury Park won NXN Nationals in 2019 with a very strong team ... Newbury Park finished 6th at NXN in 2018, so they can race well at this course ... However, there is a concern for all teams regarding the weather and course conditions ... The course was soft is 2019 and the boys got the most pristine conditions since they raced before the girls (the boys messed the course up for the girls in the following race) ... The girls race first this year, and that MAY affect the boy's race if the course is soft.

Lex & Leo Young are projected to finish 1st and 2nd in the team scoring, although Tyron Gorze (Crater) and Daniel Simmons (American Fork) will try to break-up that projection ... Aaron Sahlman could make it 1-2-3 for Newbury Park in the team score, and that would make it tough for them to lose.

Jesuit Portland OR ... Jesuit Portland ran faster than Crater at the Oregon State Meet ... Jesuit Portland won the State 6A race (15:28 avg) while Crater won the 5A race (15:34 avg) ... Crater won NXR Northwest averaging 8 seconds faster than Jesuit Portland ... Both teams are closely matched and scoring at the #4 and #5 positions could be important ... Jesuit Portland gets a slight advantage in the overall team scoring due to displacement caused by other teams.

Crater OR ... Crater OR raced very nicely in winning NXR Northwest ... Crater and Jesuit Portland might have a "home team" advantage with the race in Oregon, but that doesn't always work out ... Both teams are really good, so I'm giving them the "local" benefit of the doubt.

Christian Brothers Academy NJ ... Christian Brothers is a frequent competitor at NXN Nationals ... Christian Brothers was 2nd in 2013, 4th in 2012 and won NXN in 2011 ... They are a definite contender for a podium position.

Hinsdale Central IL & Plainfield South IL ... These two Illinois State teams probably had their best seasonal team performances at NXR Midwest when Hinsdale Central won ... Plainfield South beat Hinsdale Central by one point at the Illinois State Meet ... To me, it looks like a toss-up with the three teams placed above them in the projection above.

Southlake Carroll TX ... Southlake Carroll TX has raced well all season ... They won NXR South by 77 points, and are the Texas State 6A Champions ... In September at the Woodbridge Classic in California, Southlake Carroll finished 3rd to NXN qualifiers Herriman and Crater, but Southlake Carroll beat Great Oak, Granada, Mountain View and San Clemente ... Southlake Carroll is another legitimate contender for a podium position.

American Fork UT ... American Fork UT is the Utah State 6A Champion and they won NXR Southwest by 39 points ... They seem to be peaking at the right time of the season ... American Fork is another frequent competitor at NXN Nationals ... They finished 7th at NXN in 2018, 2nd in 2015, 5th in 2014, 7th in 2013 and 2nd in 2012 ... The raw speed ratings for this year actually place American Fork a bit lower than the 8th-place shown above ... and I won't be surprised if they finish better.

Great Oak CA ... Great Oak CA, another frequent competitor at NXN, finished 2nd to Newbury Park in 2019 (losing by only 4 points) and they were 2nd in 2018 (losing to Loudoun Valley VA) ... Great Oak did win NXN in 2015 at this course, so they are capable of running well Glendoveer ... Their previous NXN coach (Doug Soles) now coaches at Herriman.

Individual Race Comments:

The table below lists the top runners at NXN 2022 by best speed rating ... Once again, the majority of runners listed below qualified as individuals (not on a team competing at NXN).

43 Runners have a seasonal speed rating of 190 or higher, and 7 have a speed rating of 199+ ... This is a great race.

This race has many runners capable of exceptional performances and challenging for the top positions ... Many runners are in contention for a top ten position.

The Big Question ... Will anybody be able to challenge Leo & Lex Young for the win? ... Hunter Jones, Connor Burns, Tyrone Gorze, Devan Kipyego and others shown below may be capable ... How might a soft, cold, muddy course affect the race?

Could be a great & interesting race.

 
Top Individual Boys Runners (Both Team & Individual):  
                                                           
                                                                Best 
 Name                  Grade  School                State    Speed Rating    
 --------------------  -----  -------------------   -----    ------------   
 Leo Young               12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA     202.37   202      --TEAM--
 Hunter Jones            12   Benzie Central          MI     201.73   202   ** Individual
 Lex Young               12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA     201.71   202      --TEAM--
 Connor Burns            12   Southern Boone County   MO     199.90   200   ** Individual
 Tyrone Gorze            12   Crater                  OR     199.37   199      --TEAM--
 Benne Anderson          12   Grand Rapids Ottawa Hil MI     199.30   199   ** Individual
 Connor Ackley           12   Hil. Davidson           OH     199.17   199   ** Individual
 Devan Kipyego           12   St. Raphael Academy     RI     197.47   197   ** Individual
 Aaron Sahlman           12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA     197.32   197      --TEAM--
 Byron Grevious          11   Phillips Exeter Acad    NH     196.97   197   ** Individual
 Aidan Cox               12   Coe Brown Academy       NH     196.13   196   ** Individual
 Daniel Simmons          11   American Fork           UT     195.07   195      --TEAM--
 Jackson Heidesch        12   Dowling Catholic        IA     195.00   195   ** Individual
 Simeon Birnbaum         12   Rapid City Stevens      SD     194.93   195   ** Individual
 Kole Mathison           12   Carmel                  IN     194.23   194   ** Individual
 Ford Washburn           12   Iowa City               IA     194.13   194   ** Individual
 Matthew Donis           12   Highland (SS)           CA     193.92   194   ** Individual
 Weston Brown            12   Bozeman                 MT     193.77   194   ** Individual
 Nolan McGinn            11   FM                      NY     193.70   194   ** Individual
 Noah Breker             12   Robbinsdale Armstrong   MN     193.40   193   ** Individual
 Nathan Neil             11   Bozeman                 MT     193.33   193   ** Individual
 Jacob Nenow             12   Jesuit                  OR     193.07   193      --TEAM--
 Solomon Holden-Betts    12   Baldwinsville           NY     193.03   193   ** Individual
 Alexander Garcia-Silver 12   Marshfield              WA     192.93   193   ** Individual
 Tayson Echohawk         12   Orem                    UT     191.93   192   ** Individual
 Kevin Sanchez           12   Austin Vandegrift       TX     191.91   192   ** Individual
 Liam Heninger           12   Mountain View           UT     191.67   192      --TEAM--
 Adam Burlison           11   Grapevine               TX     191.47   191      --TEAM--
 Aidan Ross              12   Uxbridge                MA     191.37   191   ** Individual
 Conner Rutherford       12   Blacksburg              VA     191.27   191   ** Individual
 Noah Jenkins            12   Herriman                UT     191.17   191      --TEAM--
 Collin Gilstrap         12   Monroe-Woodbury         NY     190.90   191   ** Individual
 Zack Munson             12   Sehome                  OR     190.43   190   ** Individual
 Dan Watcke              12   Hinsdale (Central)      IN     190.37   190      --TEAM--
 Christopher Caudillo    12   Clovis (CS)             CA     190.34   190   ** Individual
 Ayden Granados          12   McAllen Memorial        TX     190.18   190   ** Individual
 Patrick Gandini         12   Gilford                 NH     190.10   190   ** Individual
 Knox Young              11   Greenville              NC     190.10   190   ** Individual
 Maximus Haynia          12   Westhampton             NY     189.70   190   ** Individual
 Evan Noonan             10   Dana Hills (SS)         CA     189.59   190   ** Individual
 Joshua Ruiz             11   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL     189.57   190      --TEAM--
 Marcelo Parra           11   San Antonio TMI-The Epi TX     189.53   190   ** Individual
 Colby King              12   St. Thomas Aquinas      SD     189.50   190   ** Individual


Where the BOYS Team Scores came from (in part) ... 
  (Overall Ratings based on NXN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets) 


Team Runners and Ratings by Team (alphabetical):

                                                                             Individual race Speed Ratings
 Name                   Gr   School                State  Overall Rating       (most recent first)
 =====================  ==   ===============       =====  ==============    =====================================

 Daniel Simmons         11   American Fork           UT    192.90   193     195 192 190 189 183 188 186 182
 Ben Bradshaw           11   American Fork           UT    175.97   176     177 174 174 173 175 173 165
 Ben Jaster             11   American Fork           UT    174.41   174     177 173 173 159 165 170 167 157
 Seth Smith             12   American Fork           UT    173.27   173     173 177 169 163 157 165 167 164
 Chase Pack             11   American Fork           UT    171.29   171     174 172 163 165 165 162 158
 Kaden Evans            10   American Fork           UT    167.88   168     174 164 162 156 154 157 151 158 153
 Bridger Karren         11   American Fork           UT    153.59   154     151 138 149 156 166 160 160 147

 Joshua Ruiz            11   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    185.82   186     190 182 178 183 175 177 167
 Joseph Ruiz            11   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    178.36   178     183 172 167 176 173 169 162
 Marcelo Mantecon       8    Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    176.08   176     178 176 174 168 161 153
 Joseph Socarras        10   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    174.19   174     172 177 173 175 166 165 164
 Matthew Calero         12   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    168.62   169     170 162 170 154 152
 Evan Torres            11   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    167.88   168     166 158 171 173 165 160
 Alec Torricella        12   Belen Jesuit Prep       FL    167.56   168     167 170 165 163 152 129

 Joe Barrett            10   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    188.43   188     185 189 190 188 183 185
 Nicholas Sullivan      12   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    188.09   188     188 189 186 183 183 187
 Jack Falkowski         11   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    179.59   180     179 180 179 180 172
 Zach Shroba            12   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    175.49   175     176 171 177 172 173 172
 Lucas Ward             12   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    175.15   175     170 175 177 166 174 174
 Conor Clifford         11   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    175.09   175     176 176 174 168 164 161
 Alex Kemp              11   Christian Brothers Ac   NJ    172.04   172     166 168 175 174 166 174

 Ashton Bange           12   Corning                 NY    182.42   182     180 186 184 181 181 170 170 168 171
 Gabe Cornfield         12   Corning                 NY    172.39   172     174 175 146 171 170 161 159 165 166
 Tevin McLaren          12   Corning                 NY    171.32   171     172 169 171 162 173 171 174 163 169
 Marcus Homa            12   Corning                 NY    170.02   170     174 168 170 160 162 163 160 151 160
 DJ Cornfield           11   Corning                 NY    168.33   168     168 168 163 172 172 166 167 147 158
 Joshua Beres           12   Corning                 NY    162.97   163     159 160 158 162 162 168 166 168 169
 Jaxyn Mahoney          10   Corning                 NY    157.67   158     158 154 159 161 152 160 149 148 146

 Tyrone Gorze           12   Crater                  OR    198.34   198     198 199 195 192
 Josiah Tostenson       10   Crater                  OR    184.17   184     185 177 180 187 181
 Tayvon Kitchen         10   Crater                  OR    176.24   176     177 176 173 166 159
 Jeffrey Hellmann       11   Crater                  OR    174.57   175     180 164 163 170
 Shaun Garnica          11   Crater                  OR    174.43   174     175 175 169 169 168
 Caleb Doddington       11   Crater                  OR    173.30   173     170 176 166 171 168
 Ryder Hvall            12   Crater                  OR    153.26   153     150 157 146 134

 Caden Weber            11   Downers Grove North     IL    178.24   178     178 179 173 168
 Ryan Eddington         11   Downers Grove North     IL    178.24   178     158 179 179 169 162
 Topher Ferris          12   Downers Grove North     IL    175.00   176     165 176 176 173 176
 Asa Gaspar             12   Downers Grove North     IL    173.47   173     176 166 163 174
 Grant Schroder         10   Downers Grove North     IL    168.37   168     166 166 170
 Leo Gartlan            12   Downers Grove North     IL    165.55   168     151 172 158 163 158
 Zachary Bender         11   Downers Grove North     IL    165.50   167     152 169 163 162 164

 Aidan McHugh           12   Episcopal Academy       PA    181.78   182     184 175 178
 Dakin Ebmeyer          12   Episcopal Academy       PA    179.16   179     176 181 172
 Michael Woolery        11   Episcopal Academy       PA    177.68   178     179 169 177
 Dawson French          11   Episcopal Academy       PA    171.46   171     170 172 168
 Connor Hanrahan        12   Episcopal Academy       PA    167.10   167     146 171 168
 Ethan Zhou             10   Episcopal Academy       PA    162.82   163     166 155 157
 Eli Engelman           10   Episcopal Academy       PA    153.68   154     150 155

 Trevor Coggin          12   Farragut                TN    184.53   185     186 183 182 179 179 175
 Braden Ebbert          11   Farragut                TN    179.67   180     181 179 175 177 174 173
 Matteo Tonnos          11   Farragut                TN    179.21   179     181 178 175 172 171 171
 Harrison Cunningham    11   Farragut                TN    170.03   170     172 163 169 162 165 170
 Quinn DeGuira          12   Farragut                TN    168.55   169     172 166 159 159 160 161
 Riley Hanson           12   Farragut                TN    162.18   162     163 146 163 161 163 167
 Jarek Morton           12   Farragut                TN    161.29   161     163 161 148 144

 Roland Ruckmann-Barnes 12   Granada (NC)            CA    183.57    184    184 179 186 178 173
 Dheeraj Gurusamy       12   Granada (NC)            CA    176.69    177    177 175 174 179 175
 Luther Hart            12   Granada (NC)            CA    174.68    175    175 175 169 169 167
 Jake Walton            12   Granada (NC)            CA    171.91    172    172 172 165 165
 Farin Soriano          12   Granada (NC)            CA    171.80    172    175 168 153 166 163
 Liam Manley            12   Granada (NC)            CA    171.14    171    169 171 173 168 171
 Eshaan Singh           11   Granada (NC)            CA    170.34    170    168 166 173 170 169

 Adam Burlison          11   Grapevine               TX    189.48   189     191 186 190 185 187 184 182 176
 Alberto Rayon          12   Grapevine               TX    184.29   184     175 186 187 178 177
 Justin Leathers        11   Grapevine               TX    167.27   167     168 170 170 162 161 157 155 154 142
 Charles Smith          10   Grapevine               TX    167.04   167     167 168 170 164 164 158 153 153 150
 Blayne Bradford        11   Grapevine               TX    164.46   164     165 161 164
 Ryan Kerr              10   Grapevine               TX    146.50   146     142 144 150 127 144 139 146
 Matthew Barborka       11   Grapevine               TX    146.37   146     148 144 143 150 148 134 138 132 137

 Mark Cortes            12   Great Oak (SS)          CA    180.83    181    183 178 180 175 165 175 164
 Gabriel Rodriguez      11   Great Oak (SS)          CA    180.24    180    180 181 180 169 167 175 165
 Ramses Cortes          12   Great Oak (SS)          CA    177.16    177    180 174 162 167 173
 Nathan Lennox          12   Great Oak (SS)          CA    173.99    174    177 170 171 163 156
 Austin Elkins          12   Great Oak (SS)          CA    173.33    173    176 163 172 175 163 166 148
 Jeffrey Keeney         11   Great Oak (SS)          CA    171.17    171    171 171 173 159 163 156
 Nick Gaffney           12   Great Oak (SS)          CA    167.81    168    168 155 170 173 159 168 159

 Noah Jenkins           12   Herriman                UT    188.74   189     191 186 187 185 181 176 177
 William Horne          12   Herriman                UT    181.97   182     182 179 180 182 186 178 179
 Ryland Garner          12   Herriman                UT    171.11   171     171 163 171 176 172 165 175 167
 Luke Briggs            12   Herriman                UT    169.39   169     172 157 169 173 167 155 165
 Jack Beckstrom         11   Herriman                UT    167.52   168     169 162 169 169 169 150 152 160 152
 Maxwell Hofheins       11   Herriman                UT    164.26   164     164 164 161 167 169 157 152 154 145
 Hyrum Wood             11   Herriman                UT    160.14   160     159 154 158 167 161 162 155 160 154

 Dan Watcke             12   Hinsdale Central        IL    189.02   189     189 185 190 181
 Aden Bandukwala        11   Hinsdale Central        IL    187.43   187     187 189 185 179 171
 Jesse Gamboa           12   Hinsdale Central        IL    177.27   177     182 173 156 147 173 164
 Michael Skora          12   Hinsdale Central        IL    175.73   176     173 174 178 174 175
 Max Lowe               11   Hinsdale Central        IL    170.48   170     173 168 160 159
 Grant Miller           12   Hinsdale Central        IL    159.24   159     160 160 152 152 158 155
 Nikita Kamenev         10   Hinsdale Central        IL    157.36   157     161 151 154 154 151 134

 Jacob Nenow            12   Jesuit Portland         OR    192.02   192     193 190 186 187 192
 Gus Clevenger          12   Jesuit Portland         OR    184.35   184     183 185 184 178 184 181
 Caden Swanson          11   Jesuit Portland         OR    181.34   181     179 182 184 174 177 167
 Joshua Augustine       12   Jesuit Portland         OR    180.27   180     180 183 175 169 177 169
 Matthew Wroblewski     9    Jesuit Portland         OR    169.36   169     163 172 171 156 165 160
 Coen Strub             10   Jesuit Portland         OR    166.75   167     168 165 163 168 164 163
 Kellen Williams        9    Jesuit Portland         OR    159.20   159     162 154 156 149 134

 Liam Heninger          12   Mountain View           UT    189.25   189     190 187 185 185 188 187 192 188 186
 Parker Barnes          12   Mountain View           UT    182.29   182     176 182 185 183 179 178 182 179 179
 Kyle Steadman          10   Mountain View           UT    173.68   174     174 176 171 172 165 154 166 166 164
 Mack Waite             12   Mountain View           UT    169.97   170     167 173 167 164 169 164 167 157 166
 Issac Sohler           10   Mountain View           UT    168.67   169     167 173 162 170 162 150 157 157
 Thomas Moore           12   Mountain View           UT    162.91   163     166 157 156 158 165 151 159 161 157
 Ammon Larsen           10   Mountain View           UT    150.75   151     146 143 157 158 144 150 141 141 147 146

 Lex Young              12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    200.50    200    202 191 200 182
 Leo Young              12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    200.50    199    198 191 202 182
 Aaron Sahlman          12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    194.96    195    197 189 194 185 173
 Brayden Seymour        12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    182.40    182    181 184 179 171
 Dev Doshi              11   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    182.40    182    185 176 179 178
 Aaron Cantu            12   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    174.70    175    178 166 172 161
 Arnav Shetty           11   Newbury Park (SS)       CA    162.19    162    164 161 157 150 145

 Camyn Viger            11   Plainfield South        IL    184.96   185     180 181 188 179 185
 Dylan Maloney          10   Plainfield South        IL    177.66   178     177 178 178 175 176
 Bj Sorg                12   Plainfield South        IL    177.39   177     178 176 177 174 172
 Owen O'Shea            12   Plainfield South        IL    176.34   176     177 171 178 171 162
 Ethan Reynoso          12   Plainfield South        IL    175.65   176     175 175 176 174 176
 Jack Wright            12   Plainfield South        IL    165.21   165     163 162 168 163 155
 Gavin Borger           11   Plainfield South        IL    164.14   164     154 157 169 166 166

 Juan Chantaca          12   San Clemente (SS)       CA    184.41    184    183 184 185 181 187 175 176
 Rory Catsimanes        12   San Clemente (SS)       CA    181.36    181    182 180 182 180 177 174 172
 Brett Ephraim          11   San Clemente (SS)       CA    177.59    178    178 158 182 181 179 174 172
 Grant Sestak           12   San Clemente (SS)       CA    173.05    173    176 173 166 168 158 159 160
 Pierce Clark           11   San Clemente (SS)       CA    171.71    172    170 167 176 169 172 163 161
 Taj Clark              11   San Clemente (SS)       CA    171.29    171    169 172 173 163 170 170 161
 Dallin Harrington      9    San Clemente (SS)       CA    165.13    165    167 163 159 157 155

 Logan Cantu            12   Southlake Carroll       TX    181.25   181     181 177 184 175 179 181 177 172
 Jude Alvarez           11   Southlake Carroll       TX    179.09   179     176 180 178 179 171
 Caden Leonard          9    Southlake Carroll       TX    178.68   179     179 181 175 174 172 170 171 166
 Blake Bullard          10   Southlake Carroll       TX    178.06   178     181 175 178 172 159 176 173 157
 Robert Freeman         12   Southlake Carroll       TX    174.02   174     173 174 177 174 170 160 168 156
 Zach Troutman          11   Southlake Carroll       TX    170.03   170     163 173 168 162 174 168 166 161
 Tyler Ortiz            12   Southlake Carroll       TX    164.97   165     166 161 163 169 163 159 164 156

 Aloysius Franzen       11   Stevens Point           WI    184.60   185     184 185 174
 Bode Erickson          11   Stevens Point           WI    183.90   184     184 185 177 179
 Ethan Olds             10   Stevens Point           WI    171.41   171     173 170 169 161
 Cooper Erickson        9    Stevens Point           WI    169.24   169     168 170 162 168
 Graham Ballard         10   Stevens Point           WI    167.66   168     167 169 162 162
 Max Bushmaker          12   Stevens Point           WI    162.13   162     167 145 159 156
 Tate Bruckhart         12   Stevens Point           WI    158.99   159     160 155 150 160

 Aidan Brancaccio       12   St. Anthony's           NY    177.49   177     179 172 177 179 177 178 177 174 173 170
 Jack Morelli           11   St. Anthony's           NY    173.63   174     175 172 174 175 174 169 169 166 168 167
 Hunter Wilson          12   St. Anthony's           NY    171.63   172     174 167 169 170 159 160 170 164 170 167
 Collin McLaughlin      11   St. Anthony's           NY    170.13   170     170 169 173 165 167 171 165 163 165 158
 Jeremy Paredes         12   St. Anthony's           NY    167.68   168     166 170 168 161 165 168 164 159 146
 Regan MacPherson       10   St. Anthony's           NY    165.08   165     162 164 165 168 168 166 154 165 159 165 167
 Sean Dearie            12   St. Anthony's           NY    162.94   163     165 143 162 166 165 152 165 166 168

 Hamza Mohamed          12   Wayzata                 MN    182.13   182     182 184 180 182 177 177 175 159
 Will Weber             10   Wayzata                 MN    178.87   179     178 181 177 176 172 172 170
 Daniel Mccollor        11   Wayzata                 MN    177.61   178     178 177 178 179 174 168 161
 Tyler Kissell          11   Wayzata                 MN    174.71   175     176 175 174 173 170 153 166 154
 Parker Dietrick        11   Wayzata                 MN    168.74   169     170 170 168 163 161 161 159 152
 Hayes McMillan         11   Wayzata                 MN    165.95   166     155 158 173 164 166 156
 Daniel Salatino        10   Wayzata                 MN    155.52   156     153 157 153 158 149 153 154

 
                                                               ------------------------------------
 ----------------------------------------------------                 Team Scores Based on
   Team Scores Based on NXN Regional Speed Ratings                  State Meet Speed Ratings
 ----------------------------------------------------          ------------------------------------

 1   Prospect               IL    130    (Midwest   )          1   Saratoga Springs       NY     65
 2   Saratoga Springs       NY    145    (New York  )          2   Buchanan (CS)          CA    145
 3   Buchanan (CS)          CA    153    (California)          3   Flower Mound           TX    169
 4   Cuthbertson            NC    163    (Southeast )          4   Prospect               IL    178
 5   Niwot                  CO    165    (Southwest )          5   Niwot                  CO    181
 6   York                   IL    197    (Midwest   )          6   Cuthbertson            NC    207
 7   Lone Peak              UT    204    (Southwest )          7   York                   IL    214
 8   Wayzata                MN    219    (Heartland )          8   Southlake Carroll      TX    221
 9   Flower Mound           TX    253    (South     )          9   Lucas Lovejoy          TX    247
 10  Southlake Carroll      TX    259    (South     )          10  Wayzata                MN    253
 11  Lucas Lovejoy          TX    281    (South     )          11  Air Academy            CO    268
 12  North Allegheny        PA    300    (Northeast )          12  Lone Peak              UT    268
 13  Campolindo (NC)        CA    333    (California)          13  Jesuit Portland        OR    297
 14  Los Altos (CC)         CA    335    (California)          14  Campolindo (NC)        CA    306
 15  Air Academy            CO    343    (Southwest )          15  Los Altos (CC)         CA    317
 16  Summit                 OR    348    (Northwest )          16  JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA    324
 17  JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA    355    (California)          17  Summit                 OR    389
 18  Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN    399    (Southeast )          18  North Allegheny        PA    396
 19  Olathe West            KS    411    (Heartland )          19  Bethlehem              NY    476
 20  Jesuit Portland        OR    440    (Northwest )          20  Union Catholic Reg     NJ    483
 21  Union Catholic Reg     NJ    464    (Northeast )          21  Olathe West            KS    507
 22  Bethlehem              NY    609    (New York  )          22  Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN    599

         ** Note - California State Meet was used for BOTH the NXR Regional ratings above and
                  for "State Meet" ratings above since no NXR meet in California.

		

Pre-Race Comments ... Saratoga Springs is the defending NXN National Champion from 2019 ... Four runners from that Saratoga Springs team are racing in this year's race ... The quality of Saratoga performances this season makes them the favorite to win again ... But they have some serious challengers, and some inconsistent performances (which occurred at times during the season) could open the door for another team.

The table above lists the team scores based on the speed ratings from the NXR qualifiers and respective State Meets ... Note that Saratoga wins handily based on the State Meet ratings, but lose to Prospect based on NXR qualifier ratings ... How did that happen??

At the NXR qualifiers, Saratoga had team scoring speed ratings of 142-142-140-135-116 ... Prospect had team scoring speed ratings of 138-137-137-136-123 ... The difference at the #5 position may not seem like much (116 to 123), but that range (116-123) was a "sweet spot" in the scoring where many runners finished close together ... 30 runners finished within a 21.9 second gap (1 scoring runner every 0.73 seconds giving Prospect a team scoring advantage over Saratoga).

These scoring "sweet spots" occur in every NXN National race and can significantly affect the team scoring.

Based computer simulated races, I think half the field is in contention to finish in the top three teams that make the podium!

Some Individual Team Comments:

Saratoga Springs NY ... Saratoga won the initial NXN (NTN) National race in 2004 at Portland Meadows ... Saratoga is the defending NXN Champion from 2019 and the favorite to win again ... Saratoga handily won the NY State Meet (Class A), the NY Federation Championship and NXR New York this year ... Their overall seasonal speed ratings make them the favorite.

Buchanan CA ... Buchanan is the top team in California which is sending four teams to NXN this year ... Buchanan finished 2nd to Niwot at last year's RunningLane Championship and return much of their team ... Buchanan finished 5th at NXN 2019 showing an ability race on a sloppy course at NXN.

Prospect IL ... Prospect won NXR Midwest impressively, and is the Illinois State Champion ... They won the Nike Town Twilight at the LaVern Gibson course in Indiana impressively ... And as noted above, Prospect out-scored Saratoga in a compiled NXR qualifier simulation ... This makes Prospect a serious contender.

Niwot CO ... Niwot won NXR Southwest and is a Colorado State Champion ... Niwot won last year's RunningLane Championship and return 3 runners from that race and add two talented freshmen ... Another serious contender.

Cuthbertson NC ... Cuthbertson won NXR Southeast easily (by 73 points) ... They are a North Carolina State Champion ... In September, Cuthbertson travelled to the Woodbridge Classic in California and finished a relatively close 3rd to Buchanan and Southlake Carroll (and beat Flower Mound and JSerra Catholic)... Cuthbertson is a team that could surprise because they are very good.

Flower Mound TX ... Flower Mound finished 3rd at NXR South, but were appropriately selected as an "At-Large" team to NXN (they were missing a normal scoring runner at NXR South) ... They are the Texas 6A State Champion (beating Southlake Carroll by one point) ... Flower Mound has three runners with overall speed ratings above 140, and that ability with other good runners makes them a contender.

Southlake Carroll TX ... Southlake Carroll won NXR South on a wet and slippery course ... Southlake Carroll finished 2nd to Buchanan at the Woodbridge Classic in California (and beat Cuthbertson and Flower Mound) ... Definitely a podium contender.

York IL ... York finished a very good 2nd to Prospect at NXR Midwest ... York finished 4th at last year's RunningLane Championship and return 5 girls from that team ... Another podium contender.

Lone Peak UT ... Lone Peak finished a very good 2nd to Niwot at NXR Southwest ... Lone Peak is the Utah State 6A Champion ... I think they might be very good at NXN Nationals.

Wayzata MN ... Wayzata won NXR Heartland handily with a performance that makes them a podium contender ... Wayzata won NXN Nationals 2013.

Lucas Lovejoy TX ... Lucas Lovejoy finished 2nd at NXR South on a sloppy course, and seems to be an improving team.

Individual Race Comments:

I enjoy saying this every year - This year's race is once again deep and talented ... 15 girls have a speed rating of 150 or higher and Irene Riggs has the highest speed rating (171) in the nation at this point  ... As can be seen in the Table below (best speed ratings), the majority of top runners in this race are competing as individuals, but a fair number are running on a team.

Based on her previous two races (NXR Southeast & West Virginia State Meet),  I expect Irene Riggs will set a fast early pace ... Will anybody go with her? - I don't know ... It may depend on the speed of her pace and the course conditions (cold weather and possibly soft, wet terrain) ... It is possible that a decent-sized chase pack will form behind Riggs, staying somewhat within contact distance ... If this happens, the runners in the chase-pack can be identified from the list below.

Abbey Nechanicky is undefeated this season and has posted consistently high speed ratings (154 158 156 154 155 152 151 152) ... I think she can go faster, but she is on a team in-the-hunt for a podium position, and that may affect any decision to go out too fast early in the race ..... If the conditions are wet and slippery, I wonder if that will affect Irene Riggs and her pace?

I think the top 3 to 5 spots overall are open to a bunch of runners below.

This is a very high-quality race.

 
Top Individual Girls Runners (Both Team & Individual):  
                                                             
                                                                Best 
 Name                  Grade  School                 State   Speed Rating
 --------------------  ----- ----------------------  -----   ------------
 Irene Riggs             12   Morgantown              WV     171.30   171   ** Individual
 Abbey Nechanicky        12   Wayzata                 MN     158.13   158      --TEAM--
 Paityn Noe              12   Ballard                 IA     156.81   157   ** Individual
 Brooke Wilson           12   Valor Christian         CO     156.27   156   ** Individual
 Grace Schager           12   Glenbard North          IL     154.93   155   ** Individual
 Helen Sachs             10   Holland West Ottawa     MI     154.53   155   ** Individual
 Andie Aagard            11   Lone Peak               UT     153.97   154      --TEAM--
 Tatum David             12   Olney (Richland County) IL     152.57   153   ** Individual
 Isabel Allori           11   Liberty Common          CO     152.57   153   ** Individual
 Lily Cridge             12   Bishop Chatard          IN     152.47   152   ** Individual
 Hanne Thomsen           10   Montgomery (NC)         CA     151.60   152   ** Individual
 Isabel Conde De Franken 11   Cedar Park              TX     151.44   151   ** Individual
 Izzie Sullivan          10   FM                      NY     151.13   151   ** Individual
 Bethany Michalak        11   Air Academy             CO     150.07   150      --TEAM--
 Sophia Kennedy          12   Park Tudor              IN     149.83   150   ** Individual
 Nicole Humphries        11   Flower Mound            TX     149.49   149      --TEAM--
 San Juanita Leal        11   Edinburg North          TX     148.83   149   ** Individual
 Ali Bainbridge          12   Sioux Falls Lincoln     SD     148.30   148   ** Individual
 Emma Stutzman           12   Pomona                  CO     148.13   148   ** Individual
 Ella Hagen              10   Summit                  CO     148.00   148   ** Individual
 Lillie Bogdan           10   Frontier                NY     147.56   148   ** Individual
 Liesel Kehoe            11   Edmond North            OK     147.22   147   ** Individual
 Emily Bush              11   Saratoga                NY     147.10   147      --TEAM--
 Samantha Humphries      11   Flower Mound            TX     146.87   147      --TEAM--
 Jade Rypkema            12   Nevis                   MN     145.73   146   ** Individual
 Jolena Quarzo           12   Brownsville Area        PA     145.23   145   ** Individual
 Stella Kermes           11   Cuthbertson             NC     144.37   144      --TEAM--
 Anna Callahan           11   Skyline                 WA     144.03   144   ** Individual
 Mckenzie Bailey         12   Georgetown High         TX     143.87   144   ** Individual
 Alexandra Walsh         11   Southlake Carroll       TX     143.83   144      --TEAM--
 Ava Bushaw              12   Southlake Carroll       TX     143.67   144      --TEAM--
 Alexandra Fox           10   Flower Mound            TX     143.50   144      --TEAM--
 Sydney Drevlow          10   Hopkins                 MN     143.40   143   ** Individual
 Norah Hushagen          10   Forest Lake Area        MN     143.20   143   ** Individual
 Cate DeSousa            12   Red Bank Catholic HS    NJ     142.78   143   ** Individual
 Tessa Buswell           11   Poway (SD)              CA     142.69   143   ** Individual
 Elliana Lomeli          10   Buchanan (CS)           CA     142.63   143      --TEAM--
 Avalon Mecham           11   American Fork           UT     142.40   142   ** Individual
 Sheridan Wheeler        12   Saratoga                NY     142.33   142      --TEAM--
 McKinley Wheeler        12   Saratoga                NY     141.93   142      --TEAM--



Where the Girls Team Scores came from (in part) ... 
  (Overall Ratings based on NXN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets)

Team Runners and Ratings by Team:  

                                                                             Individual race Speed Ratings
Name                    Gr   School                State  Overall Rating       (most recent first)
======================  ==   ===============       =====  ==============    ====================================

 Bethany Michalak       11   Air Academy            CO     147.41   147     150 135 148 135
 Tessa Walter           10   Air Academy            CO     138.45   138     130 139 138 141 139
 Jordan Banta           9    Air Academy            CO     122.62   123     120 121 100 132 123 116
 Emily Beers            10   Air Academy            CO     117.69   118     117 120 116 106 109 106
 Lauren Myers           9    Air Academy            CO     109.62   110     91 112 109 117 99
 Olivia Chura           10   Air Academy            CO     96.14    96      96 97 96 95 87 76
 Sofia Kunstle          11   Air Academy            CO     81.02    81      84 74 76

 Rylee Davis            12   Bethlehem              NY     123.44   123     115 122 118 122 126 125 126 130 131 131 116
 Charlotte O'Meara      10   Bethlehem              NY     117.62   118     72 118 124 119 111 124 130 126 127 113 124
 Olivia Deer            9    Bethlehem              NY     112.61   113     101 111 114 115 116 118 114 96
 Katherine Bannigan     10   Bethlehem              NY     110.57   111     94 109 102 118 117 117 118 118 119 99
 Anna Chrapowitzky      8    Bethlehem              NY     109.28   109     97 109 109 113 115 116 106 114 98 92
 Sarah Guyette          12   Bethlehem              NY     103.78   104     103 102 105 107 104 101 95 96 87
 Annie Bolke            12   Bethlehem              NY     102.89   103     97 106 103 101 100 92 101 96 99 89

 Grace Hutchison        12   Buchanan (CS)          CA     140.25   140     141 136 141 121
 Kynzlee Buckley        9    Buchanan (CS)          CA     138.19   138     131 139 140 138 129
 Sierra Cornett         10   Buchanan (CS)          CA     135.46   135     137 134 130 131 127
 Elliana Lomeli         10   Buchanan (CS)          CA     134.10   132     57 143 140 129
 Tayler Torosian        9    Buchanan (CS)          CA     130.31   130     135 120 118 127
 Sydney Sundgren        12   Buchanan (CS)          CA     129.97   130     120 121 132 140 131
 Avery Hutchison        10   Buchanan (CS)          CA     120.69   121     104 123 124 113 117

 Ellie Buckley          12   Campolindo (NC)        CA     137.19   137     133 139 133
 Shea Volkmer           11   Campolindo (NC)        CA     132.61   133     132 133 122
 Rachel Moen            11   Campolindo (NC)        CA     119.36   119     123 113 100
 Makena Weberski        11   Campolindo (NC)        CA     111.95   112     105 113 112
 Caroline Mccool        12   Campolindo (NC)        CA     110.32   110     113 105 102
 Kate Kabenina          11   Campolindo (NC)        CA     110.01   110     112 106 98
 Sloan Pullen           10   Campolindo (NC)        CA     102.42   102     98 104

 Stella Kermes          11   Cuthbertson            NC     143.62   144     143 144 139 142
 Alyssa Preisano        12   Cuthbertson            NC     131.99   132     133 127 133 131
 Charlotte Bell         11   Cuthbertson            NC     130.90   131     131 130 118 133
 Justine Preisano       11   Cuthbertson            NC     128.98   129     126 128 130 129
 Lillian Nasta          12   Cuthbertson            NC     122.94   123     125 116 119
 Josie Schihl           9    Cuthbertson            NC     104.00   104     102 106 91
 Caison Turner          12   Cuthbertson            NC     70.26    70      72 61

 Nicole Humphries       11   Flower Mound           TX     145.63   146     149 137 147 135 144 123 138 133
 Samantha Humphries     11   Flower Mound           TX     143.45   143     132 143 147 146 143 144 141 140
 Alexandra Fox          10   Flower Mound           TX     141.18   141     139 143 144 132 131 129
 Natalie Spangher       11   Flower Mound           TX     118.67   119     114 120 101 119 125 119 105
 Ava Cole               10   Flower Mound           TX     115.52   116     118 114 111 110 108 88
 Bailey Hooley          11   Flower Mound           TX     101.57   102     102 101 89
 Abbey Coberly          12   Flower Mound           TX     96.85    97      98 96 86 94 97 93

 Maura O'Scannlain      10   Jesuit Portland        OR     130.60   131     124 133 131 124 129 122
 Liliana Hudnut         11   Jesuit Portland        OR     122.63   123     120 126 117 119 113
 Maggie Bennett         12   Jesuit Portland        OR     116.41   116     113 123 116 99 103 99 92
 Emma Bennett           10   Jesuit Portland        OR     116.26   116     118 113 98
 Amalie Beil            11   Jesuit Portland        OR     114.37   114     110 120 116 104 100 105 95
 Audrey O'Neill         11   Jesuit Portland        OR     111.28   111     98 116 107 112 87
 Natalie Jack           12   Jesuit Portland        OR     104.96   105     88 100 111 108 110 100 98

 Brynn Garcia           10   JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     133.71   134     132 127 130 129 138 142
 Summer Wilson          9    JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     129.72   130     125 129 131 119 129 133
 Kaylah Tasser          9    JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     124.79   125     122 120 121 128 128 130
 Anastasia Snodgrass    12   JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     113.91   114     113 110 98 123
 Brooke O'Brien         11   JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     113.61   114     115 106 115 114 111 107
 Georgia Jeanneret      11   JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     112.23   112     112 111 113 96 114 102
 Ellie Johnson          12   JSerra Catholic (SS)   CA     104.46   104     97 106 104 106 101 100

 Andie Aagard           11   Lone Peak              UT     148.50   148     154 141 134 136
 Addie Meldrum          11   Lone Peak              UT     125.04   125     126 126 120 124 116 115
 Brielle Nilsson        9    Lone Peak              UT     123.66   124     129 119 113 111 120 93 92
 Anna Bybee             9    Lone Peak              UT     121.95   122     124 121 117 113 119 104 103
 Boston Bybee           10   Lone Peak              UT     121.56   122     123 121 110 112 121 118 122
 Zoey Nilsson           9    Lone Peak              UT     120.56   121     125 119 105 113 116 100 95
 Ashley Favero          10   Lone Peak              UT     102.43   102     109 100 87 83 57 78

 Lauren Soobrian        12   Los Altos (CC)         CA     134.47   134     126 136 136 125
 Emily Soobrian         10   Los Altos (CC)         CA     129.29   129     130 120 132 120
 Lydia Anderson         9    Los Altos (CC)         CA     120.08   120     122 112
 Jasleen Sidhu          11   Los Altos (CC)         CA     119.61   120     120 118 119 115
 Fiona Bodkin           12   Los Altos (CC)         CA     115.80   116     112 115 117 112
 Emma Beedon            9    Los Altos (CC)         CA     106.01   106     106 106 95
 Maddy Randall          11   Los Altos (CC)         CA     102.60   105     93 101 109 101

 Amy Morefield          12   Lucas Lovejoy          TX     132.84   133     135 128 125 126 132 131
 Sara Morefield         11   Lucas Lovejoy          TX     131.70   132     130 128 128 133 137 133
 Camryn Benson          9    Lucas Lovejoy          TX     123.05   123     121 125 124 119 117 116
 Peyton Benson          11   Lucas Lovejoy          TX     122.14   122     119 124 121 116 121 107
 Kailey Littlefield     11   Lucas Lovejoy          TX     120.48   120     120 121 118 120
 Kate Carlson           11   Lucas Lovejoy          TX     99.67    100     97 99 98 105 92 97
 Jocelyn Chapman        9    Lucas Lovejoy          TX     89.10    89      84 77 96 88 78

 Addison Ritzenhein     9    Niwot                  CO     135.62   136     137 137 129 127 121 115
 Mia Prok               11   Niwot                  CO     132.81   133     133 130 124 137
 Madison Shults         12   Niwot                  CO     131.51   132     126 126 138 117
 Anna Prok              9    Niwot                  CO     127.95   128     130 121 123 129 127
 Bella Nelson           10   Niwot                  CO     126.81   127     113 128 130 130 122 110
 Olivia Alessandrini    11   Niwot                  CO     124.96   125     128 113 122 126 105
 Lex Bullen             12   Niwot                  CO     124.21   124     125 124 120 123

 Wren Kucler            10   North Allegheny        PA     134.26   134     137 130 128 132 129 134
 Eva Kynaston           11   North Allegheny        PA     124.42   124     126 125 120 116 112 109
 Erin McGoey            11   North Allegheny        PA     118.07   118     120 113 119 113 111 108
 Grace Rowley           12   North Allegheny        PA     117.74   118     120 113 118 109 111 108
 Robin Kucler           10   North Allegheny        PA     115.03   115     119 104 109 114 102
 Camille Swirsding      10   North Allegheny        PA     95.18    95      91 86 96 100 99 96
 Kendall Lucas          10   North Allegheny        PA     91.89    92      74 80 100 97 85 93

 Charis Robinson        12   Olathe West            KS     123.45   123     118 121 128 116 114
 Bree Newport           11   Olathe West            KS     122.08   122     129 109 114 112 104
 Paige Baker            12   Olathe West            KS     115.32   115     116 113 116 111 102
 Kate Miller            11   Olathe West            KS     114.33   114     116 95 118 116 107
 Kalyn Willingham       11   Olathe West            KS     109.19   109     114 105 90 92 81
 Sydney All             9    Olathe West            KS     108.14   108     109 107 106 104
 Liz Browning           10   Olathe West            KS     93.30    93      97 65 98 91 86

 Hailey Erickson        12   Prospect               IL     136.16   136     138 133 137 131 132 129 128
 Veronica Znajda        10   Prospect               IL     134.70   135     136 132 137 127 121 116
 Meg Peterson           9    Prospect               IL     134.18   134     137 131 134 121 97 117
 Lily Ginsberg          11   Prospect               IL     132.82   133     137 127 133 126 105 126 113
 Cameron Kalaway        12   Prospect               IL     123.18   123     123 124 125 115 109 122 94
 Samantha Patterson     12   Prospect               IL     116.23   116     119 115 110 106 118 99 91
 Ireland Wildhart       10   Prospect               IL     115.34   115     118 113 111 106 101 93

 Emily Bush             11   Saratoga Springs       NY     143.68   144     135 143 145 147 145 145 137 143
 Sheridan Wheeler       12   Saratoga Springs       NY     140.74   141     141 142 140 138 142 133 127 121
 McKinley Wheeler       12   Saratoga Springs       NY     139.31   139     142 137 133 134 132 119
 Anya Belisle           11   Saratoga Springs       NY     137.42   137     140 135 128 134 134 133 125 125
 Alycia Hart            11   Saratoga Springs       NY     132.04   132     116 133 138 114 137 127 99
 Heidi Berglund         8    Saratoga Springs       NY     118.80   119     108 124 119 109 122 113 101 91
 Natalie Wilding        8    Saratoga Springs       NY     112.08   112     102 115 113 115 114 107 87 68

 Ava Bushaw             12   Southlake Carroll      TX     141.29   141     142 140 144 135 138 132 133 115
 Sylvia Schwedler       11   Southlake Carroll      TX     132.52   133     135 133 130 126 129 114 110 112
 Alexandra Walsh        11   Southlake Carroll      TX     131.89   132     91 120 144 136 139 137
 Audrey Dunn            12   Southlake Carroll      TX     126.50   126     124 127 127 124 131 111 97
 Elizabeth Smits        10   Southlake Carroll      TX     121.40   121     123 120 115 119 121 116 112 92
 Sarayu Veluri          10   Southlake Carroll      TX     110.94   111     111 111 109 111 116 99 101 89
 Natalie Ng             12   Southlake Carroll      TX     105.27   105     105 100 98 112 114 93 102 97

 Barrett Justema        12   Summit                 OR     132.05   132     134 130 120 125 126
 Ella Thorsett          12   Summit                 OR     126.50   126     116 126 127 132 127
 Camile Broadbent       12   Summit                 OR     120.73   121     125 117 108 109 104
 Claire McDonald        12   Summit                 OR     117.43   117     121 111 103 116 101
 Taylin Bowen           9    Summit                 OR     106.17   106     109 94 106 104 101
 Skye Knox              9    Summit                 OR     105.86   106     107 106 99 102 92
 Eva Dicharry           9    Summit                 OR     104.57   105     112 72 96

 Kaleigh Gunsiorowski   12   Union Catholic Reg     NJ     127.52   128     128 128 122 124 128 125
 Courtney Kaiser        11   Union Catholic Reg     NJ     124.18   124     127 119 106 121 126 118
 Leilani Gibson         11   Union Catholic Reg     NJ     107.52   108     106 112 98 104 83 79
 Ella Solorzano         9    Union Catholic Reg     NJ     104.19   104     107 95 77 104 107
 Emmy O'Hearn           9    Union Catholic Reg     NJ     100.50   100     101 100 97 82
 Victoria Urbaez        12   Union Catholic Reg     NJ     94.01    94      81 87 100 95 92
 Caitlin Toy            11   Union Catholic Reg     NJ     71.37    71      69 67 75 59

 Abbey Nechanicky       12   Wayzata                MN     156.39   156     154 158 156 154 155 152 151 152
 Teegan Anderson        12   Wayzata                MN     126.91   127     130 128 118 122 121 122 115 103
 Grace Mignone          12   Wayzata                MN     124.19   124     126 124 122 122 123 115 113 94
 Maddie Gullickson      9    Wayzata                MN     121.69   122     124 123 121 116 113 111 100 91
 Alyson Kleyman         10   Wayzata                MN     116.04   116     120 113 111 111 107 101 101 93
 Grace Weber            12   Wayzata                MN     114.52   115     122 107 97 112 102 100 89 86
 Aubrey Smith           8    Wayzata                MN     108.72   109     106 110 109 106 96

 Carolina Areheart      9    Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     124.96   125     126 119 121 128
 Anna Graves            11   Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     122.17   122     117 118 122 130 120
 Jazzlyn Garmer         9    Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     119.29   119     119 98 123 117 124
 Kristina Weaver        10   Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     116.23   116     116
 Calysta Garmer         9    Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     115.56   116     116 113 114 115 114
 Lauren Davis           11   Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     86.61    87      85 72 88 93 86
 Avery Krishnan         11   Webb Sch of Knoxville  TN     62.98    63      62 64 48

 Bria Bennis            12   York                   IL     135.97   136     134 138 133 130 131
 Michaela Quinn         11   York                   IL     132.99   133     135 132 128 121 115
 Katherine Klimek       11   York                   IL     128.02   128     125 130 127 121 120
 Brooke Berger          12   York                   IL     127.29   127     129 120 124 118 128
 Lily Beerhalter        12   York                   IL     121.86   122     124 120 114 111 113
 Maggie Quinn           9    York                   IL     121.78   122     125 119 115 110 108
 Margaret Owens         11   York                   IL     101.03   101     101