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 Eastbay Speed Rating Preview 2021

 

I compiled the following lists to familiarize myself with runners competing in Eastbay 2021 (previously Foot Locker) ... I wanted a general idea of what the runners have accomplished in terms of speed ratings with a look towards handicapping the race ... Knowing something about the runners and contenders make the races more interesting when watching the races.

The tables below include:
 ... Overall Rating - an approximated overall speed rating for betting purposes (a "morning-line" or "seed-time" of sorts)
 ... All Available Ratings - speed ratings from the season in the TullyRunners database (Note - 1 speed rating point = 3 seconds)

Some brief comments about selected runners are given following the tables ... (Link to Speed Rating History at Foot Locker Finals)

 

BOYS - Foot Locker Preview Speed Ratings - 2021

Name Gr School St Region Overall Rating Eastbay Region Place Available Seasonal Speed Ratings
Gavin Sherry 12 Conard High CT Northeast 199 1 200 - Eastbay Northeast
198 - New England Champ
195 - Connecticut Open
194 - CIAC Division Champ
196 - Ocean State Invite
Zane Bergen 12 Niwot CO Midwest 199 3 201 - RunningLane Champ
194 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
196 - Colorado State Champ
189 - CO 4A Region 3
192 - Longs Peak League
189 - Desert Twilight Fest
185 - St. Vrain Invite
Riley Hough 12 Hartland MI Midwest 199 1 200 - RunningLane Champ
196 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
195 - Michigan State Champ
198 - Portage Invitational
194 - MSU Spartan Inv
194 - Pete Moss Benzie Inv
Marco Langon 12 Bridgewater-Raritan NJ Northeast 199 2 199 - Eastbay Northeast
199 - New Jersey MOC
191 - New Jersey Groups
189 - Skyland Conf Champ
193 - Manhattan Invite
193 - NJ Shore Coaches
Tyrone Gorze 11 Crater OR West 193+ 1 193 - East West Regional
192 - Pacific NW Showcase
191 - Oregon State Champ
188 - Crater Twilight
Kenan Pala 12 Francis Parker CA West 195 2 192 - East West Regional
194 - California State Meet
196 - Mt SAC Invitational
187 - Mt. Carmel Invitational
Gitch Hayes 12 LaSalle Institute NY Northeast 195 3 196 - Eastbay Northeast Champ
195 - NY Federation
193 - NY States-Class B
188 - Section 2-Class B
183 - Colonial Council
193 - Burnt Hills Inv-V3
193 - Manhattan Invite
186 - Grout Run Inv-D1
191 - Ocean State Inv RI
189 - Pre-State McDan-Bax
Myles Hogan

12

Fordham Prep NY Northeast 194 4 196 - Eastbay Northeast Champ
194 - NY Federation
181 - CHSAA Intersectional
189 - NY/BQ CHSAA Champ
189 - Ocean Bz Bowes Inv
185 - Manhattan Invite
185 - McQuaid Invitational
Shane Brosnan 12 Union Catholic Reg NJ Northeast 194 5 195 - RunningLane Champ
194 - Eastbay Northeast
194 - New Jersey MOC
188 - New Jeresy Groups
185 - Union County Champ
184 - Union County Conf Chm
186 - NJ Shore Coaches
172 - Battle at Ocean Co Park
Aidan Puffer 12 Manchester CT Northeast 193 6 193 - Eastbay Northeast
194 - New England Champ
192 - Connecticut Open
185 - CIAC Division Champ
189 - CCC Championship
Izaiah Steury 12 Angola IN Midwest 193 2 194 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
189 - NXR Midwest Region
192 - Indiana State Champ
192 - Indiana Semi-State 3
191 - Riverview Health Inv
189 - Marion Invitational
Kole Mathison 11 Carmel IN Midwest 193 8 196 - RunningLane Champ
191 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
188 - Indiana State Champ
186 - Indiana Semi-State 2
185 - IHSAA Regional 10
187 - Nike Town Twilight
191 - Riverview Health Inv
187 - Eagle Classic Brown
184 - Hamilton County Meet
Sahil Dodda 12 Dallas St Marks TX South 193 2 192 - Eastbay South Region
194 - NXR South Regional
183 - Chile Pepper Fest
186 - Lovejoy Fall Fest
Hunter Jones 11 Benzie Central MI Midwest 192 5 193 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
191 - NXR Midwest Region
191 - Michigan State Champ
193 - Portage Invitational
188 - Shepherd BLUEJAY
186 - MSU Spartan Inv
191 - Wildcat Classic Inv
188 - Pete Moss Benzie Inv
Nick Falk 12 New Trier IL Midwest 192 4 194 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
188 - Illinois State Champ
185 - Peoria Invitational
179 - First To The Finish
Kevin Sanchez 11 Austin Vandegrift TX South 191 6 190 - Eastbay South Region
191 - NXR South Regional
193 - Texas State Champ
186 - McNeil-Hoka One Inv
188 - Woodbridge Classic
185 - FEAST Patriot Invite
181 - Southlake Carroll Inv
Ethan Ashley 12 Denmark GA South 191 1 192 - Eastbay South Region
188 - Georgia State Champ
189 - Coach Wood Invite
183 - Alexander-Asics
Gabe Hinrichs 12 Elkhorn South NE Midwest 191 6 192 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
191 - NXR Heartland Region
191 - Nebraska State Champ
Emmanuel Sgouros 12 St. John's Houston TX South 191 4 191 - Eastbay South Region
190 - McNeil-Hoka One Inv
Jefferson Mcmullin 12 Lehi UT West 191 7 190 - East West Regional
192 - NXR Southwest
187 - Utah State Champ
189 - Utah 5A-6A-Divisional
185 - Utah Region 8 Champ
178 - Utah Pre-State
174 - Timpanogos Invite
171 - Utah Pre-Region 8
Jack Gregorski 12 Corning NY Northeast 191 7 193 - Eastbay Northeast Champ
190 - NY States-Class A
178 - Section 4-Class A
187 - STAC Championship
181 - Manhattan Invite
185 - McQuaid Invitational
184 - Bowdoin Classic-V1
184 - Pre-State McDan-Bax
186 - Bob Goodell Inv
Luke Anthony 12 East Lyme CT Northeast 191 8 193 - Eastbay Northeast
190 - New England Champ
184 - Connecticut Open
182 - CIAC Division Champ
180 - Wickham Park Inv
190 - Ocean State Invite
Zachary Ayers 12 Davis (SJ) CA West 191 6 190 - East West Regional
192 - California State Meet
185 - Mt SAC Invitational
189 - Asics Clovis Invite
181 - John Ruff Invite
Samuel Burgess 11 Framingham MA Northeast 191 9 192 - Eastbay Northeast
186 - Massachusetts State
188 - Mass Div 1 St Qual
186 - Manchester Invite
Michael Toppi 12 Viera HS FL South 190 3 190 - RunningLane Champ
191 - Eastbay South Region
188 - Florida State Champ
189 - FSU Pre-State Inv
187 - New World Fall Spect
181 - Astronaut Invite
176 - Cecil Field Summer
Charlie North 12 Franklin OR West 190 4 190 - East West Regional
189 - Pacific NW Showcase
191 - Oregon State Champ
176 - 6A-1 Portand Champ
187 - Lewis and Clark Inv
186 - Nike Hole in Wall
172 - Oregon City Invite
179 - Ash Creek Fest
Michael Maiorano 12 South Medford OR West 190 5 190 - East West Regional
189 - NXR Northwest Region
185 - Oregon State Champ
181 - Nike Portland
Michael Bohlke 12 Newington CT Northeast 190 10 190 - Eastbay Northeast
188 - New England Champ
190 - Connecticut Open
175 - CIAC Division Champ
186 - CCC Championship
183 - Wickham Park Inv
Luke Athay 10 Idaho Falls ID West 190 3 191 - East West Regional
185 - NXR Northwest Region
187 - Idaho State Champ
182 - Bob Conley Invite
185 - Border Wars
184 - Mountain West Classic
182 - Cardinal Classic
Luke Venhuizen 12 Traverse City Central MI Midwest 190 7 192 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
185 - Mideast Championship
183 - Michigan State Champ
186 - Shepherd BLUEJAY
174 - MSU Spartan Inv
172 - Pete Moss Benzie Inv
Caleb Jarema 12 Pinckney MI Midwest 189 10 188 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
188 - Mideast Championship
187 - Michigan State Champ
191 - Portage Invitational
Peter Baracco 12 Farmington MI Midwest 189 9 189 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
185 - Michigan State Champ
189 - MSU Spartan Inv
Owen McArdle 12 Yorktown VA South 189 5 190 - Eastbay South Region
185 - Virginia State 6A5A4A
183 - Carlisle Invite
179 - Oatlands Invite
172 - Great Meadow Inv
Keegan Smith 9 Knoxville Catholic TN South 189 7 190 - Eastbay South Region
185 - Tennessee States
186 - Southern Showcase
Patrick Koon 10 Leon HS FL South 189 8 190 - Eastbay South Region
186 - Florida State Champ
190 - FSU Pre-State Inv
183 - New World Fall Spect
182 - Katie Caple Invite
184 - Cecil Field Summer
Ferenc Kovacs 10 Woodbury Forest VA South 189 9 190 - Eastbay South Region
188 - VA VISAA State Champ
176 - Oatlands Invite
Nathan Solomon 12 Shiloh GA South 188 10 189 - Eastbay South Region
184 - Georgia State Champ
183 - Coach Wood Invite
180 - Alexander-Asics
170 - Wingfoot Classic
Mark Trammell 12 Santa Fe Christian (SD) CA West 188 8 189 - East West Regional
187 - California State Meet
186 - Asics Clovis Invite
178 - Woodbridge Classic
Caleb Lakeman 12 Tualatin OR West 188 9 188 - East West Regional
189 - Pacific NW Showcase
188 - Oregon State Champ
180 - Champoeg Invite
182 - Nike Portland
185 - Ash Creek Fest
Max Sannes 12 Big Bear (SS) CA West 188 10 187 - East West Regional
191 - California State Meet
180 - CIF-SS Div Finals
188 - Mt SAC Invitational
182 - Woodbridge Classic
               

 

 

General Comment ... I suspect the speed ratings for the top finishers at Foot Locker Nationals may be a bit higher than those shown in table above (that's typically the case) ... To finish in top places at Eastbay (Foot Locker) Nationals typically requires exceptional performances, usually season-best performances ... Eastbay (Foot Locker) is unique because it has a small field of select runners coming to the race expecting to run fast (knowing they have to run fast to place well) ... Top national competition on a fast course under good weather conditions yields top performances (often season-best performances) ... That did happen at the RunnigLane Champ race last weekend.

But the Eastbay course (Balboa Park) is different than the RunningLane course (John Hunt Running Park):

  • John Hunt Park is much faster than Balboa Park ... as much as 50-60 seconds depending on conditions
  • Speed ratings are determined by time differences between runners of known ability
  • Balboa Park has a "Separation section" (the big uphill & downhill run twice ... especially the 2nd time)
  • John Hunt Park has nothing comparable to the "Separation section" at Balboa which frequently separates the top runners
  • Separation increases the time differences between runners which effects the speed ratings

Some Quick Notes about RunningLane:

  • 77 runners were less than one minute behind winner Colin Sahlman (the fastest HS 5K XC time ever)
  • 14 runners were 27 seconds or less behind winner Colin Sahlman
  • Using the 9 California teams that raced at both CA States & RunningLane Gold (3 boys + 6 girls teams), the median time differences between Woodward Park and John Hunt Park was 27 seconds faster at John Hunt Park for the Team Scoring Averages
  • Excluding the Newbury Park guys, 30 of the 51 California team runners "closed the gap" between themselves and Colin Sahlman at RunnigLane compared to Woodward Park ... Meaning the time difference between them and Colin Sahlman was less at RunningLane (counting all 51, an average of 3 seconds less).
  • The Speed Ratings of the Newbury Park guys are not higher due to this "minimized separation" from many runners of known ability ... The same reason why the Jenna Hutchins fans hated me last year.

	

Five runners in this year's Eastbay field competed at RunningLane 2021 Last Week:

             RunningLane   RunningLane
                Place     Speed Rating
 Zane Bergen      4       200.70   201  (season best)
 Riley Hough      5       200.48   200  (season best)
 Kole Mathison    9       196.23   196  (season best)
 Shane Brosnan    13      195.45   195  (season best)
 Michael Toppi    29      190.18   190  (2nd best to 191.05)

The Top Speed Ratings at RunningLane 2021 were:

                                           RunningLane
                Place                      Speed Rating
 Colin Sahlman    1    Newbury Park (SS)   202.90   203 (season best)
 Leo Young        2    Newbury Park (SS)   202.31   202 (season best)
 Lex Young        3    Newbury Park (SS)   202.17   202 (season best)
 Zane Bergen      4    Niwot               200.70   201 (season best)
 Riley Hough      5    Hartland            200.48   200 (season best)
 Aaron Sahlman    6    Newbury Park (SS)   199.21   199 (season best)
 Aidan Cox        7    Coe Brown Academy   197.86   198 (season best)
 Jackson Barna    8    Ridge HS            196.62   197 (2nd best to 196.67)
 Kole Mathison    9    Carmel              196.23   196 (season best)
 Isaac Teeples    10   Kamiakin            196.07   196 (season best)
 Gary Martin      11   Archbishop Wood     195.95   196 (season best)
 Tayson Echohawk  11   Orem                195.90   196 (season best)
 Shane Brosnan    12   Union Catholic Reg  195.45   195 (season best)

Some Individual Runner Comments

Gavin Sherry ... Gavin Sherry, the Eastbay Northeast winner, is undefeated in 2021with many good seasonal performances ... He was the first runner to achieve a speed rating of 200 in 2021 ... He did not race at RunnigLane ... Finished 14th at Foot Locker 2019, so he has experience on the Balboa Park course.

Zane Bergen ... Zane Bergen finished 4th at RunningLane (200.70 speed rating) ... Zane Bergen & Riley Hough raced all-out at RunningLane last week, but I have no idea if those efforts will affect their races at Eastbay.

Riley Hough ... Riley Hough finished 5th at RunningLane (200.48 speed rating) ... He was undefeated entering the RunningLane race with many high speed ratings, and is one of the favorites of this race.

Marco Langon ... Marco Langon finished 2nd at Eastbay Northeast ... He has achieved speed ratings of 199 in his last two races ... He won the New Jersey Meet of Champions with an impressive time on the Holmdel Park course (15:06; course record is 14:53 by Edward Cheserek).

Tyrone Gorze ... Tyrone Gorze is the Eastbay West winner ... He is undefeated this season ... I suspect he can race faster, and may be a challenger to watch.

Kenan Pala ... Kenan Pala won the California State D5 race, won the Mt SAC Invitational Sweeps (196 speed rating) and was 2nd at Eastbay West.

Gitch Hayes & Myles Hogan ... These two New York guys have raced very well this season ... They finished 3rd & 4th, respectively, at Eastbay Northeast ... My bias is rooting for them (and all NY runners at Eastbay).

 

 ... 36 of the 40 Boys entered Eastbay 2021 having at least one speed rating of 190 or higher this season ... and that makes the race competitive and interesting .

 

 

GIRLS - Foot Locker Preview Speed Ratings - 2021

Name Gr School St Region Rating Eastbay Region Place Available Seasonal Speed Ratings
Natalie Cook 12 Flower Mound TX South 163 1 165 - RunningLane Champ
160 - Eastbay South Region
160 - Texas State Champ
161 - TX UIL Reg 1 Champ
147 - TX UIL 6A - Dist 6
151 - Woodbridge Classic
147 - Southlake Carroll 2-Miler
Angelina Perez 12 Lakeland Regional NJ Northeast 161 1 157 - Eastbay Northeast
159 - New Jersey MOC
163 - New Jersey Groups
162 - NJ Sectional North 1
159 - Passaic County Champ
152 - NJ Shore Coaches
149 - Six Flags Wild Saf
Riley Stewart 12 Cherry Creek CO Midwest 156 1 157 - RunningLane Champ
156 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
155 - Colorado State Champ
155 - Pat Amato Classic
151 - Nike Portland
Caroline Wells 12 Winter Springs HS FL South 155 5 148 - Eastbay South Region
156 - Florida State Champ
150 - FSU Pre-State Inv
150 - Hagerty Invite
141 - Astronaut Invite
Kate Peters 11 Lake Oswego OR West 152+ 1 152 - East West Regional
144 - Oregon State Champ
152 - Nike Portland
Ellie Shea 10 Belmont HS / Emerging Elite MA Northeast 154 6 146 - Eastbay Northeast
154 - Boston Mayors Cup Champ
Jenna Mulhern 12 West Chester Henderson PA Northeast 154 4 156 - RunningLane Champ
149 - Eastbay Northeast
150 - FSU Pre-Nationals 6K
Sophia Nordenholz 12 Albany (NC) CA West 154 4 148 - East West Regional
156 - California State Meet
141 - Asics Clovis Invite
Sadie Engelhardt 9 Ventura (SS) CA West 151 2 150 - East West Regional
151 - California State Meet
137 - CIF-SS Div Finals
149 - Asics Clovis Invite
148 - Woodbridge Classic
147 - Cool Breeze Invite
Olivia Williams 10 Acalanes (NC) CA West 151 3 149 - East West Regional
152 - California State Meet
Lauren Ping 11 Desert Vista AZ West 150 5 144 - East West Regional
144 - NXR Southwest
149 - Arizona State Champ
152 - Desert Twilight Fest
149 - Woodbridge Classic
157 - The Peaks Invite
Rachel Forsyth 10 Ann Arbor Pioneer MI Midwest 150 7 144 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
151 - NXR Midwest Region
151 - Michigan State Champ
142 - Portage Invitational
141 - MSU Spartan Inv
134 - Pete Moss Benzie Inv
Ali Weimer 12 Saint Michael-Albertville MN Midwest 150 2 150 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
150 - NXR Heartand Region
143 - Minnesota State Champ
147 - MN Section 8AAA
149 - Lake Conf Champ
141 - STMA Invitational
150 - Roy Griak Invite
138 - St. Olaf Showcase
Ava Parekh 12 Chicago Latin IL Midwest 149 5 151 - RunningLane Champ
147 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
145 - Illinois State Champ
144 - Naperville Twilight
147 - Roy Griak Invite
144 - Richard Spring Inv
135 - Hornet-Red Devil
Juliette Whittaker 12 Mount De Sales Academy MD Northeast 149 3 149 - Eastbay Northeast
136 - Manhattan Invite
135 - Great American Fest
142 - Oatlands Invite
Karrie Baloga 11 Cornwall NY Northeast 149 5 146 - Eastbay Northeast
150 - NY Federation
146 - NY States-Class A
140 - Section 9-Class A
147 - OCIAA Championship
148 - Sec 1 Coaches-V1
148 - Manhattan Invite
151 - Six Flags Wild Saf
146 - Washingtonville Wiz
Arianne Olson 11 Holland West Ottawa MI Midwest 148 4 148 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
134 - NXR Midwest Region
142 - Michigan State Champ
148 - OK Red Conference
147 - Portage Invitational
153 - Otsego Bulldog Inv
148 - MSU Spartan Inv
141 - West Ottawa Bredeweg
148 - Under The Lights Inv
141 - Portage Early Bird
Lilly Shapiro 12 Colts Neck NJ Northeast 148 10 149 - RunningLane Champ
141 - Eastbay Northeast
150 - New Jersey MOC
145 - New Jersey Groups
146 - Shore Conference Champ
141 - Monmouth Co Champ
140 - Six Flags Wild Saf
Zariel Macchia 9 William Floyd NY Northeast 148 2 150 - Eastbay Northeast
140 - NY States-Class A
129 - Section 11-Class A
126 - Suffolk Fr/So Invite
136 - Sec 11 Divisional
139 - Manhattan Invite
122 - Six Flags Wild Saf
Julia Flynn 12 Traverse City Central MI Midwest 147 6 146 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
147 - Mideast Championship
147 - Michigan State Champ
149 - Shepherd BLUEJAY
140 - MSU Spartan Inv
143 - Pete Moss Benzie Inv
Emily Toth-Ratazzi 12 Rome Free Academy NY Northeast 147 7 144 - Eastbay Northeast
141 - NY States-Class A
149 - Section 3-Class A
145 - TVL Championship
139 - Rome Coughlin Inv
140 - EJ Herrmann-Lg
139 - Pre-State McDan-Bax
138 - VVS Invitational-3
Ciara O'Shea 11 Madison Central KY South 147 2 149 - Eastbay South Region
142 - Kentucky State Champ
147 - Great American Fest
137 - Trinity-Valkyrie Inv
133 - Rumble Thru Jungle
139 - Memphis Twilight
141 - Central KY Run Gold
Maddie Gardiner 10 The Covenant School VA South 147 3 148 - Eastbay South Region
144 - VA VISAA State Champ
140 - MileStat.com Invite
Abby Faith Cheeseman 9 The Webb School TN South 147 4 148 - Eastbay South Region
147 - Tennessee States
145 - Great American Fest
140 - Southern Showcase
141 - Meet In The Middle
Crawford West 12 Vestavia Hills HS AL South 147 6 148 - Eastbay South Region
147 - Alabama State Champ
132 - Jesse Owens Classic
128 - Southern Showcase
136 - Chickasaw Trails
Anna McNatt 11 McClatchy (C.K.) (SJ) CA West 147 8 142 - East West Regional
149 - California State Meet
139 - Asics Clovis Invite
138 - Woodbridge Classic
138 - John Ruff Invite
Sophia Kennedy 11 Park Tudor IN Midwest 146 3 148 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
132 - NXR Midwest Region
140 - Indiana State Champ
136 - Indiana Semi-State 2
128 - IHSAA Regional 10
Lauren Pansegrau 12 Middleton WI Midwest 145 10 141 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
148 - NXR Heartand Region
145 - Wisconsin State Champ
145 - WIAA D1 Sectional
143 - Roy Griak Invite
Irene Riggs 11 Morgantown WV South 145 8 146 - Eastbay South Region
138 - West Virginia States
145 - Cal Pokas OVAC Chm
144 - Great American Fest
136 - Boardman Spartan
144 - Red-White-Blue Inv
Allie Zealand 10 Pacers Homeschool VA South 145 7 146 - Eastbay South Region
124 - Greensboro Invite
Mia Cochran 12 Moon Area PA Northeast 144 9 143 - Eastbay Northeast
144 - Pennsylvania State Champ
144 - Great American Fest
141 - Desert Twilight Fest
145 - Red-White-Blue Inv
Thais Rolly 11 McLean VA South 144 9 146 - Eastbay South Region
143 - Virginia State 6A5A4A
143 - MileStat.com Invite
138 - Carlisle Invite
139 - Oatlands Invite
Ava Gordon 12 Loudoun Valley VA South 144 10 145 - Eastbay South Region
142 - Virginia State 6A5A4A
140 - Third Battle Invite
118 - Carlisle Invite
Daphne Banino 12 Ursuline NY Northeast 143 8 144 - Eastbay Northeast
142 - NY States-Class A
139 - Section 1-Class A
119 - Westchester County
133 - NYC Carnival-Var
135 - Manhattan Invite
117 - Paul Short Run PA
131 - Six Flags Wild Saf
124 - Somers Big Red
Kaiya Robertson 12 Franklin OR West 143 6 144 - East West Regional
138 - Pacific NW Showcase
139 - Oregon State Champ
136 - 6A-1 Portland Champ
140 - Lewis and Clark Inv
140 - Nike Hole in Wall
134 - Oregon City Invite
125 - Ash Creek Fest
Taylor Rohatinsky 12 Lone Peak UT West 142 7 143 - East West Regional
137 - NXR Southwest
133 - Utah State Champ
118 - Utah Pre-State
132 - UIAAA Invitational
Karina James 12 Lowell IN Midwest 141 8 142 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
134 - Mideast Championship
132 - Indiana State Champ
137 - Indiana Semi-State 4
133 - Crown Point Invite
Gretchen Farley 11 Park Tudor IN Midwest 141 9 142 - Eastbay Midwest Reg
137 - NXR Midwest Region
137 - Indiana State Champ
137 - Indiana Semi-State 2
128 - IHSAA Regional 10
129 - Riverview Health Inv
Aishling Callanan 11 Peninsula (SS) CA West 141 9 141 - East West Regional
139 - California State Meet
142 - CIF-SS Div Finals
140 - Mt SAC Invitational
137 - Woodbridge Classic
120 - Cool Breeze Invite
Nelah Roberts 10 Skyline ID West 141 10 141 - East West Regional
141 - NXR Northwest Region
137 - Idaho State Champ
122 - Bob Conley Invite
125 - Border Wars
117 - Cardinal Classic
               

 

 

General Comments

Five runners in this year's Eastbay field competed at RunningLane 2021:

             RunningLane   RunningLane
                Place     Speed Rating
 Natalie Cook     1       164.69   165  (season best)
 Riley Stewart    3       156.54   157  (season best)
 Jenna Mulhern    4       156.16   156  (season best)
 Ava Parekh       9       150.68   151  (season best)
 Lilly Shapiro    13      149.02   149  (2nd best to 150.33)
 

The Top Speed Ratings at RunningLane 2021 were:

                                                   RunningLane
                   Place                          Speed Rating
 Natalie Cook        1    Flower Mound            164.69   165  (season best)
 Lily Cridge         2    Bishop Chatard          158.40   158  (season best)
 Riley Stewart       3    Cherry Creek            156.54   157  (season best)
 Jenna Mulhern       4    West Chester Henderson  156.16   156  (season best)
 Dalia Frias         5    Mira Costa (SS)         153.60   154  (3rd best to 155.50)
 Samantha Mcdonnell  6    Newbury Park (SS)       151.62   152  (2nd best to 151.80)
 Eva Klingbeil       7    Niwot                   151.10   151  (season best)
 Chloe Foerster      8    Jesuit                  151.03   151  (season best)
 Ava Parekh          9    Chicago Latin           150.68   151  (season best)
 Bethany Michalak    10   Air Academy             149.49   149  (season best)
 Cameron McConnell   11   Canyon Randall          149.33   149  (season best)
 Brooke Wilson       12   Valor Christian         149.08   149  (season best)
 Lilly Shapiro       13   Colts Neck HS           149.02   149  (2nd best to 150.33)

Selected Individual Runners

Natalie Cook ... Natalie Cook won RunningLane Championship race with an impressive performance and the highest speed rating of any runner this season (165)... and that makes Natalie Cook the "morning-line" favorite in this race ... I expect she may be seriously challenged by several runners ... How much the RunningLane effort took out of her is a handicapping question mark (I have no idea) ... But many runners in the past have raced just as well (some better) at Foot Locker after running NXN the week before.

Angelina Perez ... Angelina Perez had the highest speed rating (163) before the RunningLane performance by Natalie Cook ... She won Eastbay Northeast by an impressive 21 seconds ... Angelina ran the 2nd fastest time ever by high school girl at Holmdel Park (only Katelyn Tuohy's monster performance there was better) ... I expect Angelina will seriously challenge Natalie Cook for the win.

Riley Stewart ... 3rd at RunningLane ... won Eastbay Midwest handily ... a consistent, strong and talented runner.

Kate Peters ... won Eastbay West handily ... Kate Peters beat Riley Stewart earlier in the season at the Nike Portland Meet in Oregon ... I believe Kate Peters is a "racer" who can race faster with competition, and that could make her a serious challenger to watch.

Ellie Shea ... runs for the Emerging Elites team in Massachusetts ... She has run only two cross country races this season ... At the Boston Mayor's Cup at Franklin Park, Ellie finished 2nd in the Women's Championship Race (a field of post-collegiate & professional runners) .. Only Shalane Flanagan and Sydney Masciarelli have run faster high school times than Ellie at Franklin Park ... Ellie then qualified for Eastbay at Eastbay Northeast ... Last spring in Track, Ellie won the NSAF National 5000 meter race (in 16:10.42) breaking the National Freshmen High School Record ... Another runner to watch at Eastbay.

Caroline Wells ... this Florida State Champion has had an outstanding XC season ... she has both speed and endurance, and is a threat in this race ... I will not be surprised to see her up front or challenging for the lead.

Jenna Mulhern ... 4th at RunningLane ... running "unattached" from her high school team this season with just a few XC races ... and running very nicely!

Sophia Nordenholz ... had the fastest time of any girl at the California State Meet (a 156 speed rating).

Four New York Girls ... As noted above for the NY Boys, My bias is rooting for the NY Girls ... Karrie Baloga has experience on the course via an 11th-place finish at Foot Locker 2019 ... Freshman Zariel Macchia had her best race of the season when finishing 2nd at Eastbay Northeast ... Emily Toth-Ratazzi has raced well and gathered experience competing against the Fayetteville-Manlius girls this season ... Daphne Banino peaked nicely at the right time for Eastbay.

 

This is a Top-Quality Race!

 ... 18 of the 40 Girls entered in Eastbay 2021 having at least one speed rating of 150 or higher this season ...