[TullyRunners Home Page]

 NTN Boys & Girls Team Score Projections for 2007

 

Purpose  ... The purpose of these projections is to get a General Idea of team strength based on speed alone ... The purpose is NOT to predict exactly where each and every runners will finish (that's impossible no matter how good the data) ... Many runners are so closely rated that big swings in team scores (10, 20 or even 30 points) are likely to occur ... I want ONLY an overall idea of where teams MIGHT finish relative to each other.

Speed is only one factor used in handicapping races and speed can be inconsistent for some runners ... Some teams have not raced in several weeks ... Traveling and time-zone changes will affect some teams ... The conditions and weather of Portland Meadows will definitely have an effect ... So I actually expect some scores & positions to be very different than the projections!

In addition to the predicted team scores, I have also listed below the projected individual finishing positions for each runner that shows where the team scores came from (Individual Boys ... Individual Girls) ... Speed ratings from the NTN regional qualifiers, State Championship meets, and other races were used to approximate a composite speed rating for each runner ... and the composite speed ratings were used to determine the team scores.

Initial projections posted on Nov. 26, 2007 ... ACTUAL Scores Added Dec 1, 2007

[ Girls Projections ]

 

 NTN 2007 - BOYS Projected Team Scores                                Actual Scores
 =======================================================     ============================

  1   Naperville Neuqua       IL     152   (Midwest   )      Naperville XC Club       125
  2   North Central           WA     193   (Northwest )      Los Alamos XC Club       127
  3   Greater Portland XC     OR     197   (Northwest )      Albuqerque XC Club       134
  4   Dana Point XC Club      CA     199   (California)      The Woodlands XC Club    197
  5   Brookline TC            MA     203   (Northeast )      Danbury XC Club          203
  6   Elmhurst (York)         IL     241   (Midwest   )      North Central XC Club    220
  7   Danbury RC              CT     255   (Northeast )      Brookline XC Club        256
  8   Medina XC Club          OH     282   (Midwest   )      Los Angeles XC Club      261 - (Loyola)
  9   Los Alamos XC           NM     283   (Southwest )      Elmhurst XC Club         267
  10  The Woodlands TC        TX     288   (South     )      Don Bosco XC Club        272
  11  Don Bosco XC Club       NJ     290   (Northeast )      Warwick Rc-B             286
  12  Albuquerque             NM     300   (Southwest )      Medina XC Club           296
  13  Murrieta Valley         CA     306   (California)      Greater Portland XC      312 - (Central Catholic)
  14  Los Angeles XC Club     CA     313   (California)      Clifton Park TC          334
  15  Purple Wave (Warwick)   NY     313   (New York  )      Southlake Carroll XC     338
  16  Clifton Park (Shen)     NY     314   (New York  )      Rogers XC Club           360
  17  Southlake Carroll       TX     331   (South     )      Murrieta XC Club         364
  18  Fairfax XC Club         VA     335   (Southeast )      Oak Ridge RC             369
  19  Oak Ridge RC            TN     355   (Southeast )      Dana Point XC Club       379
  20  Wayzata XC Club         MN     357   (Heartland )      Wayzata XC Club          403
  21  Rogers XC Club          AR     413   (South     )      Swanson XC Club          414
  22  Swanson XC Club         KS     445   (Heartland )      Fairfax XC Club          444 - (Jefferson VA)

 

Pre-Race Comments ... Predicting this type of national race is very difficult ... The first three years demonstrated that most teams will NOT have their best race of the year at NTN ... Many runners will have speed ratings lower than the individual runner projections below (this is expected because Portland Meadows is a new type of experience for many runners ... add in traveling, time-changes, etc.) ... The projected ratings are just a vehicle for projecting relative team scores.

The projected team scores above are the actual raw scores from the individual ratings below ... I did not modify any team score using my own "subjective judgment" ... However, there were some instances where I needed to make a "best guess" concerning ratings for individual runners with inconsistent speed ratings.

One comment about team scores ... In this type of race, the winning team score will almost certainly be lower than any score listed above ... the winning team will probably run well relative to other teams, and a number of teams will simply have bad races (and those bad races will help lower the scores of the top teams).

Two articles are posted concerning characteristics of top finishing teams at NTN (Article 1 ... Article 2) ... Basically (and not surprisingly), teams with two runners capable of finishing in the top 25 plus a good #5 runner do best at NTN (of course, there are two extra teams at NTN in 2007) ... For the boys in 2007, the 25th projected finisher has a speed rating of 183.4, but any runner within a few points of that would certainly be capable of finishing top 25 ... Without much of a stretch, more than half the boys teams at NTN 2007 fit this characteristic - And that leads directly to the importance of the #5 runner in 2007 ... I really hate to put pressure on any runner, but the importance of the #4 and #5 runners can not be over-stated in this particular race.

The critical speed rating range from 175 to 167 (a range of only 24 seconds) contains 47 runners in the projection ... The finishing place of many teams will be determined by the runners in this group ... and that's one reason predicting team scores and places at NTN is so difficult.

Naperville (Neuqua Valley) IL ... Naperville has a distinct scoring advantage on the other teams because they have four runners projected in the top 25 plus the projected winner (Chris Derrick) ... However, there are six teams with a better projected #5 runner than Naperville ... and if their #5 runner has an "off-day" by only 20 seconds, it could add 40 points to Naperville's score ... But Naperville is definitely the favorite with four top runners and very good #6 and #7 runners (capable of being #5).

The next four teams (North Central WA, Stark St (Central Catholic) OR, Dana Hills CA and Brookline MA) are within 10 points of each other in the projection and are inter-changeable in those positions ... All are clearly capable of winning with top team performances.

The Woodlands TX ... The Woodlands is a good example where I needed to "guess" a composite speed rating for several runners (making a significant difference in finishing position) ... Through much of the season, Reed Connor was the top runner for The Woodlands, but he was apparently sick at the Texas State Meet and was not a scorer at the NTN regional - I included him in the projection with a somewhat reduced rating (I don't know if he will even run at Portland Meadows) ... Two other runners (Layne Nixon and Drew Butler) popped much higher than normal ratings at the NTN regional (186.5 and 185.0), and I lowered them quite a bit for the composite rating ... All this makes a big difference in where The Woodlands is projected to finish ... If all three runners re-pop top performances, The Woodlands is a threat to win.

Warwick Valley (Purple Wave) and Shenendehowa (Clifton Park) NY come out about equal in the projection after Shen won the NTN regional (reversing the result of the NY State Class Meet) ... I hope both teams do better than the projection.

NOTE ... I obviously like speed ratings as a vehicle for determining relative team speed ... But I'm also an experienced horse handicapper who realizes that speed may not be the most important factor at Portland Meadows NTN ... The most question to ask is "Can this team run at Portland Meadows in the conditions that NTN and Portland Meadows presents??" ... sometimes speed gets stuck-in-the-mud.
 

 

 

Where the BOYS Team Scores came from ... 
  (Ratings based on NTN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets) 


        Projected TOP TEN Boys Finishers
       ==================================
                                                                  Speed 
Place   Name               Grade   School                 State   Rating
----- ------------------   -----   ------------------     -----   ------
1     Chris Derrick          12    Naperville Neuqua        IL    201.0
2     Benjamin Johnson       12    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    198.7
3     Colby Lowe             12    Southlake Carroll        TX    198.6
4     Tom Achtien            12    Elmhurst (York)          IL    193.4
5     Robert Gibson          12    Brookline TC             MA    193.1
6     MacLean O'Donnell      12    Oak Ridge RC             TN    190.4
7     C.J. Brown             11    Southlake Carroll        TX    190.4
8     Andrew Kimpel          11    North Central            WA    190.0
9     Taylor Morgan          12    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    189.3
10    Tyler Valdes           11    Dana Hills               CA    188.7


                                                                  Speed     Team
Place   Name               Grade   School                 State   Rating    Score
----- ------------------   -----   ------------------     -----   ------    -----

1     Chris Derrick          12    Naperville Neuqua        IL    201.0      152
12    Danny Pawola           11    Naperville Neuqua        IL    188.4
23    Jim Riddle             12    Naperville Neuqua        IL    183.8
25    Aaron Beattie          10    Naperville Neuqua        IL    183.4
91    Mike Ruff              12    Naperville Neuqua        IL    173.7
93    Kevin Grady            12    Naperville Neuqua        IL    173.4
113   Josh Budnik            12    Naperville Neuqua        IL    170.4

8     Andrew Kimpel          11    North Central            WA    190.0      193
21    Leon Dean              11    North Central            WA    184.3
32    Steve Hicks            12    North Central            WA    181.7
37    Jeff Howard            11    North Central            WA    180.8
95    Alex Avila             10    North Central            WA    173.2
105   Adam Tyler             12    North Central            WA    171.3
136   Andrew Wordell         9     North Central            WA    165.0

9     Taylor Morgan          12    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    189.3      197
28    Musa Ahmed             10    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    182.5
39    Samot Turina           11    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    180.7
48    Joel Turkheimer        12    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    179.2
73    Peter Slauson          10    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    176.2
83    Austin Jones           12    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    175.3
118   Curran Carlile         10    Stark St (Cen Catholic)  OR    169.7

10    Tyler Valdes           11    Dana Hills               CA    188.7      199
29    Tyler Alvarez          12    Dana Hills               CA    182.3
50    Ryan Valdes            11    Dana Hills               CA    178.3
54    Josh Chan              12    Dana Hills               CA    178.0
56    David Moonan           11    Dana Hills               CA    177.7
96    Parker Rusty           12    Dana Hills               CA    173.0
100   Anthony La Camb        11    Dana Hills               CA    172.7

5     Robert Gibson          12    Brookline TC             MA    193.1      203
14    David Wilson           11    Brookline TC             MA    188.0
24    Michael Burnstein      12    Brookline TC             MA    183.6
38    Elliot Lehane          12    Brookline TC             MA    180.7
122   Brendan Grove          10    Brookline TC             MA    168.4
123   Christopher Mercuri    11    Brookline TC             MA    168.3
138   Ryan Hardiman          11    Brookline TC             MA    163.4

4     Tom Achtien            12    Elmhurst (York)          IL    193.4      241
13    Steve Sulkin           11    Elmhurst (York)          IL    188.2
51    Jordan Herbert         11    Elmhurst (York)          IL    178.3
79    Brian Spisiak          12    Elmhurst (York)          IL    175.6
94    Adam Cecil             10    Elmhurst (York)          IL    173.2
99    Mark Talbot            12    Elmhurst (York)          IL    172.9
140   Mike Rizzo             12    Elmhurst (York)          IL    162.7

15    Matt Terry             12    Danbury RC               CT    186.1      255
16    Willie Ahearn          12    Danbury RC               CT    186.0
66    Tucker Schaefer        11    Danbury RC               CT    176.6
72    Joseph Bubniak         11    Danbury RC               CT    176.2
86    Justin Rau             12    Danbury RC               CT    174.4
107   Parker Boudreau        12    Danbury RC               CT    171.2
108   Ricky Balmaseda        12    Danbury RC               CT    171.1

11    Donny Roys             11    Medina XC Club           OH    188.4      282
40    Jeremy Arthur          12    Medina XC Club           OH    180.2
43    Sam Maynard            12    Medina XC Club           OH    180.0
61    Hunter Heaton          10    Medina XC Club           OH    177.2
127   Lucas Walters          11    Medina XC Club           OH    167.3
137   Kent Rankin            12    Medina XC Club           OH    164.0
151   Ryan Fallow            11    Medina XC Club           OH    156.0

18    Allen Pittman          12    Los Alamos XC            NM    185.5      283
27    Kyle Pittman           10    Los Alamos XC            NM    182.5
57    Gareth Gilna           11    Los Alamos XC            NM    177.6
67    Tom Bowidowicz         12    Los Alamos XC            NM    176.5
114   Tom Witherell          12    Los Alamos XC            NM    170.0
148   Kevin Hemphill         11    Los Alamos XC            NM    159.1
149   Andrew Vierra          11    Los Alamos XC            NM    157.0

35    Layne Nixon            12    Woodlands TC             TX    181.4      288
45    Drew Butler            11    Woodlands TC             TX    180.0
55    Reed Connor            11    Woodlands TC             TX    178.0 ??
68    Richie Spearman        11    Woodlands TC             TX    176.5
85    Michael Golden         12    Woodlands TC             TX    174.9
92    Mitch Blakeley         12    Woodlands TC             TX    173.6
129   Tim Wang               12    Woodlands TC             TX    167.3

19    Robert Molke           11    Bosco XC Club            NJ    185.2      290
34    Anthony Belgiovine     12    Bosco XC Club            NJ    181.4
42    Leighton Spencer       11    Bosco XC Club            NJ    180.0
89    Stephen Wyka           12    Bosco XC Club            NJ    174.2
106   Rafael Vargas          10    Bosco XC Club            NJ    171.2
131   Howard Rosas           10    Bosco XC Club            NJ    167.0
153   Michael Carapezza      10    Bosco XC Club            NJ    154.0

2     Benjamin Johnson       12    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    198.7      300
30    Patrick Zacharias      10    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    182.0
69    Kyle Cooper            12    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    176.4
87    Ryan Clark             10    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    174.3
112   Taylor Murray          11    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    170.4
119   Anthony Lauriello      11    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    169.4
134   Damon Campbell         11    ABQ XC Albuqu            NM    166.0

17    David McCuthche        12    Murrieta Valley          CA    186.0      306
59    Angel Sigeti           12    Murrieta Valley          CA    177.5
71    Chris Kincade          11    Murrieta Valley          CA    176.3
78    Anthony Sanchez        12    Murrieta Valley          CA    175.7
81    Daniel Knauer          11    Murrieta Valley          CA    175.4
117   Ian Pearce             12    Murrieta Valley          CA    169.7
132   Jadden Resendiz        12    Murrieta Valley          CA    166.7

26    Elias Gedyon           9     Loyola                   CA    183.0      313
46    James Kostelnik        12    Loyola                   CA    179.7
49    Andres Diaz            11    Loyola                   CA    178.7
77    James Slater           11    Loyola                   CA    175.7
115   Anthony Milin          12    Loyola                   CA    170.0
141   JonCarlo Topete        12    Loyola                   CA    162.4
143   Pablo Ruiz             11    Loyola                   CA    162.3

33    Mike Fox               12    Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    181.5      313
41    Alex Leuchanka         11    Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    180.1
74    Brad Ackerman          12    Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    176.1
75    Ryan Florkiewicz       12    Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    176.1
90    Dan Prial              12    Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    174.0
97    Greg Miniger           12    Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    173.0
104   Tim Luthin             9     Purple Wave (Warwick)    NY    171.4

36    Dan Harris             10    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    181.2      314
47    Jamie Glover           11    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    179.4
60    Mike Danaher           11    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    177.2
70    Brian Trainor          11    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    176.4
101   John McDonald          12    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    172.4
110   Alex Belensz           12    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    170.7
126   Brent Pavlick          11    Clifton Park (Shen)      NY    167.5

3     Colby Lowe             12    Southlake Carroll        TX    198.6      331
7     C.J. Brown             11    Southlake Carroll        TX    190.4
80    Neal Smith             10    Southlake Carroll        TX    175.6
111   John Depinto           12    Southlake Carroll        TX    170.5
130   Ahmed Toure            11    Southlake Carroll        TX    167.1
144   Josh Weaver            12    Southlake Carroll        TX    161.5
147   Evan Garner            11    Southlake Carroll        TX    159.2

20    Brian Landry           12    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    185.0      335
44    Evan Heflin            12    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    180.0
62    Aaron Bernstein        12    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    177.0
76    Brian Davenport        10    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    176.1
133   Alex Witko             11    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    166.2
142   Timmy Galvin           11    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    162.4
150   Joey Jachowski         10    Team 703 (Jefferson)     VA    157.0

6     MacLean O'Donnell      12    Oak Ridge RC             TN    190.4      355
52    Emerson Peacock        12    Oak Ridge RC             TN    178.2
53    Phil Riemer            12    Oak Ridge RC             TN    178.1
120   Chris Cole             12    Oak Ridge RC             TN    169.2
124   Chris Ostrouchov       11    Oak Ridge RC             TN    168.0
135   John Sharpe            10    Oak Ridge RC             TN    165.4
145   Ethan McGroom          12    Oak Ridge RC             TN    161.3

31    Jeremy Drenckhahn      11    Wayzata XC Club          MN    182.0      357
64    Danny Ducharme         11    Wayzata XC Club          MN    176.9
65    Anders Bowman          12    Wayzata XC Club          MN    176.7
88    Peter Holmes           12    Wayzata XC Club          MN    174.3
109   Andrew Wasz            11    Wayzata XC Club          MN    171.0
128   Evan Day               11    Wayzata XC Club          MN    167.3
139   Oliver Haugland        10    Wayzata XC Club          MN    163.4

22    Aaron Hamilton         12    Rogers                   AR    184.2      413
63    Forrest Roth           12    Rogers                   AR    176.9
82    Taylor Surly           12    Rogers                   AR    175.3
121   Juan Oralla            11    Rogers                   AR    169.0
125   Cameron Efurd          11    Rogers                   AR    167.8
146   Henry Wildenborg       11    Rogers                   AR    161.0
152   Jordan Falls           11    Rogers                   AR    155.0

58    Jared Ellsworth        12    Team Swanson SM          KS    177.6      445
84    Diego Ladron           12    Team Swanson SM          KS    175.3
98    Sterling Spencer       9     Team Swanson SM          KS    173.0
102   Aaron Thornburg        9     Team Swanson SM          KS    172.3
103   Daniel Munro           11    Team Swanson SM          KS    172.3
116   Keaton Jones           10    Team Swanson SM          KS    170.0
154   Kyle Schlicht          11    Team Swanson SM          KS    149.3

 

GIRLS Projections:

 

  NTN 2007 - GIRLS Projected Team Scores                                  Actual Scores
  =======================================================     ==============================

  1   Manlius XC Club          NY     97   (New York  )       Manlius XC Club             83
  2   Newhall XC Club          CA    133   (California)       Newhall XC Club            171 - (Saugus)
  3   Burnt Hills TC           NY    240   (New York  )       Kinetic RC                 194
  4   Kinetic RC (Saratoga)    NY    255   (New York  )       Hanover RC                 206
  5   Des Moines RC            IA    262   (Heartland )       Burnt Hills XC Club        209
  6   Anaheim XC Club          CA    267   (California)       Caution XC Club            215 - (Mtn Brook)
  7   Hunterdon XC Club        NJ    268   (Northeast )       Fort Collins RC            241
  8   Portland XC Club         OR    280   (Northwest )       Wicked XC Club             250 - (Lincoln-Sudbury)
  9   Fort Collins RC          CO    290   (Southwest )       Davis XC Club              281
  10  Westfield XC Club        IN    310   (Midwest   )       Rose City XC Club          295 - (St. Mary's)
  11  Suwanee XC Club          GA    313   (Southeast )       Warwick Rc-G               301
  12  Hanover RC               NH    314   (Northeast )       Portland  XC Club          304 - (Jesuit)
  13  Wilmington XC Club       DE    322   (Southeast )       Hunterdon XC Club          304 - (Voorhees)
  14  Rose City XC Club        OR    328   (Northwest )       Des Moines RC              318 - (Dowling Catholic)
  15  Wicked XC Club           MA    329   (Northeast )       Westfield XC Club          322
  16  Warwick Valley RC        NY    332   (New York  )       Yankton XC Club            324
  17  Caution TC (Mtn Brook)   AL    334   (Southeast )       Anaheim XC Club            337 - (Esperanza)
  18  Lake Central             IN    346   (Midwest   )       Southlake Carroll XC       344
  19  Davis XC Club            UT    347   (Southwest )       Suwanee XC Club            349 - (Collins Hill)
  20  Southlake Carroll        TX    350   (South     )       Wilmington XC Club         377 - (Tatnall)
  21  Keller XC Club           TX    374   (South     )       Lake  Central XC Club      413
  22  Yankton XC Club          SD    381   (Heartland )       Keller XC Club             585

        

Pre-Race Comments ... As discussed in the Boy's Pre-Race Comments above, the team scores are the actual numbers generated from the overall speed ratings for each runner ... As noted below, I don't necessarily agree with the raw numbers.

Stotan (Fayetteville-Manlius) NY ... Coach Bill Aris is making his fourth annual team pilgrimage to Portland Meadows (twice with the boys and now twice with the girls ... includes a 1st, a 2nd, and a 3rd place finish in the first three years) ...  FM is the defending National Girls Champion and #1 ranked team in the nation ... FM has both top runners and incredible team depth including three runners projected in the top 15 finishers and the top #5 projected finisher (and the order of FM finish could be different than shown in the projection) ... FM has proven ability at Portland Meadows which is always a big plus.

FM had what might be considered an "off" race at the NTN regional ... However, the conditions at Bowdoin park were a bit different than normal in a few areas, and that, combined with a slower than normal pace for many runners in the small field (excluding Sam Roecker and Hannah Davidson) yielded some "interesting" final times and speed ratings that makes a handicapper's life more difficult.

Saugus CA ... Normally, FM would be the run-away favorite, but Saugus is NOT that far behind ... Saugus entered the 2006 NTN race as one of the favorites, but an untimely team flu bug sickened any hope of doing well; so I don't know if Saugus can run top performances at Portland Meadows (but the one year of experience should help) ... Saugus has top runners and their #5 projected finisher is only 3 to 4 seconds behind FM's #5 ... IF Saugus can run well as a team at Portland Meadows, this race could be closer than the score above indicates.

Burnt Hills NY ... Burnt Hills leads the next group of six or seven teams that are reasonably close in the projection ... Burnt Hills got a nice boost at the NY regional when Meaghan Gregory returned to compete (she missed a good chunk of the season with "mono") ... Unfortunately, Burnt Hills lost one of their top runners (Molly Pezzulo) to injury earlier in the season and she will not race (from what I have been told) ... Burnt Hills has good team depth at the #4 through #7 positions (which is one on their strengths along with top runner Sam Roecker).

Kinetic RC (Saratoga) NY ... Saratoga has a very good top duo in Hannah Davidson and Cassie Goutos (and Sydney King has come on very well during the season) ... But their actual finish position will likely be determined by their #4 and #5 runners (and that was my biggest concern in projecting Saratoga for this race (it's a question mark).

Dowling Catholic IA ... Obvious strength is the #1 projected finisher (Katie Flood) and another runner in the top 15 (Ashlie Decker) ... Top performances by the next three scorers could easily lift Dowling Catholic ahead of both Burnt Hills and Saratoga.

Esperanza CA, Voorhees NJ, Portland Harriers (Jesuit) OR, and Fort Collins CO are all very close and have a reasonable chance at top three with good team performances.

NOTE ... Not Agreeing with the Raw Numbers ... The raw numbers put Southlake Carroll TX, Keller TX, and Yankton SD as the bottom three teams in the projection ... Somehow, I find that a bit disturbing because last year the projection put Southlake Carroll 20th and they finished 3rd ... The Texas girls teams have been difficult to predict because the Texas girls run mostly 3200 meter XC races including the TX State meet (Come on Texas officials, the girls can run 5K just like the guys) ... In 2005, I predicted Southlake TX would finish top four and they did (thankfully most of the team ran Footlocker South allowing decent speed ratings to be projected) ... If my ratings for this year's NTN South regional are "off", I could be wrong again, but I also think Southlake Carroll is just plain good at preparing and competing at Portland Meadows, so I think they will finish much better than the projection ... Keller TX is something of a mystery and may be a whole lot better than the projection ... Yankton SD doesn't have a Betsy Bies or Ramsey Kavan this year (that's my only rationale for the low projection).

 

 

Where the Girls Team Scores came from ... 
  (Ratings based on NTN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets)


        Projected TOP TEN Girls Finishers
       ===================================

                                                                   Speed
Place   Name               Grade   School                  State   Rating
----- ------------------   -----   ------------------      -----   ------
1     Katie Flood            10    Dowling Catholic          IA    158.3
2     Sam Roecker            11    Burnt Hills TC            NY    152.2
3     Hannah Davidson        12    Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    149.2
4     Georgia Griffin        12    Hanover RC                NH    148.4
5     Melanie Thompson       11    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    148.0
6     Courtney Chapman       9     Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    147.0
7     Katie Dunn             12    Saugus                    CA    144.7
8     Kaylin Mahoney         9     Saugus                    CA    144.3
9     Mackenzie Carter       10    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    144.0
10    Lisa Reyna             10    Fort Collins RC           CO    143.0



                                                                   Speed     Team
Place   Name               Grade   School                 State    Rating    Score
----- ------------------   -----   ------------------     -----    ------    -----
6     Courtney Chapman       9     Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    147.0      97
9     Mackenzie Carter       10    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    144.0
14    Hannah Luber           10    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    141.1
30    Molly Malone           10    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    132.5
38    Jocelyn Richards       12    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    131.1
50    Kathryn Buchan         11    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    128.0
60    Kristen Buchan         11    Stotan (Fay-Manlius)      NY    124.6

7     Katie Dunn             12    Saugus                    CA    144.7      133
8     Kaylin Mahoney         9     Saugus                    CA    144.3
33    Anne Randall           11    Saugus                    CA    131.7
41    Brianna Jauregn        11    Saugus                    CA    131.0
44    Amber Murakami         10    Saugus                    CA    130.0
45    Nina Moore             12    Saugus                    CA    129.7
83    Michaelle Bonja        12    Saugus                    CA    119.0

2     Sam Roecker            11    Burnt Hills TC            NY    152.2      240
39    Meaghan Gregory        11    Burnt Hills TC            NY    131.0
61    Alyssa Drapeau         8     Burnt Hills TC            NY    123.4
64    Riley Wilk             8     Burnt Hills TC            NY    122.7
74    Rachael Cyrus          10    Burnt Hills TC            NY    121.2
79    Rachel Stalker         9     Burnt Hills TC            NY    120.1
81    Martha Brown           12    Burnt Hills TC            NY    119.3

3     Hannah Davidson        12    Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    149.2      255
22    Cassie Goutos          10    Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    137.2
34    Sydney King            9     Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    131.6
90    Megan Conway           9     Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    117.6
106   Brianne Bellon         10    Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    113.1
111   Amanda Borroughs       9     Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    112.1
145   Katie Treichel         8     Kinetic RC (Saratoga)     NY    95.1

1     Katie Flood            10    Dowling Catholic          IA    158.3      262
13    Ashlie Decker          10    Dowling Catholic          IA    141.9
62    Betsy Flood            12    Dowling Catholic          IA    123.0
70    Tanelle Berard         9     Dowling Catholic          IA    121.5
116   Heather Tobias         10    Dowling Catholic          IA    110.9
142   Sarah Spellman         10    Dowling Catholic          IA    98.2
154   Mary Lacy              12    Dowling Catholic          IA    62.5

24    Teeny Adams            10    Esperanza                 CA    135.4      267
37    Keena Kohl             12    Esperanza                 CA    131.3
55    Ari Selix              12    Esperanza                 CA    125.6
71    Rebekah Bahra          9     Esperanza                 CA    121.5
80    Amy Lu                 12    Esperanza                 CA    119.7
137   Kelly Davidson         11    Esperanza                 CA    100.9
140   Corey Wood             10    Esperanza                 CA    99.0

5     Melanie Thompson       11    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    148.0      268
31    Katherine Petruzzellis 10    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    132.3
40    Katrina Spratford      12    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    131.0
67    Colette Whitney        10    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    122.0
125   Christine Curtis       12    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    107.3
149   Maria Baldino          12    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    89.4
150   Jessie Schaumburg      12    Hunterdon Hawks (Voorhees)NJ    88.2

11    Adrienne McGuirk       12    Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    142.5      280
15    Noelle VanRysselberghe 11    Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    140.2
65    Payton Schutte         9     Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    122.5
77    Shanon Mahoney         9     Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    120.3
112   Claire Hagler          11    Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    112.1
114   Maria Salazar          11    Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    111.3
121   Elizabeth Murphy       12    Portland Har (Jesuit)     OR    108.8

10    Lisa Reyna             10    Fort Collins RC           CO    143.0      290
26    Miranda Benzel         11    Fort Collins RC           CO    133.4
66    Rachel Viger           10    Fort Collins RC           CO    122.1
92    Kirsten Follett        10    Fort Collins RC           CO    117.4
96    Kelsey Follett         12    Fort Collins RC           CO    115.0
113   Tati Ogan              11    Fort Collins RC           CO    111.8
143   Denise Chilson         10    Fort Collins RC           CO    98.0

25    Maggie Bingham         12    Westfield XC              IN    134.6      310
35    Kaitlyn Love           11    Westfield XC              IN    131.4
68    Waverly Neer           9     Westfield XC              IN    121.8
72    Breanne Ehrman         12    Westfield XC              IN    121.5
110   Alex Holland           10    Westfield XC              IN    112.2
118   Jessica Burton         9     Westfield XC              IN    110.7
127   Breanna Smith          10    Westfield XC              IN    107.0

18    Amanda Winslow         11    Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    139.4      313
27    Nicky Akande           10    Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    133.2
57    Allyson McGinty        11    Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    125.2
85    Briana Crawford        11    Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    118.2
126   Sydney Williams        9     Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    107.2
141   Alexa Maring           12    Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    98.4
147   Katie Gezon            12    Suwanee (Collins Hill)    GA    94.4

4     Georgia Griffin        12    Hanover RC                NH    148.4      314
46    Heidi Caldwell         10    Hanover RC                NH    129.4
73    Bridgette Black        12    Hanover RC                NH    121.3
93    Beth Taylor            12    Hanover RC                NH    117.0
98    Grace Rodriguez        11    Hanover RC                NH    114.0
105   Cate Brown             12    Hanover RC                NH    113.1
144   Meg Donohue            12    Hanover RC                NH    98.0

17    Juliet Bottorff        11    Tatnall RC                DE    140.0      322
59    Molly Parsons          10    Tatnall RC                DE    124.7
63    Kallie Fehr            10    Tatnall RC                DE    123.0
86    Katie Kershner         12    Tatnall RC                DE    118.1
97    Katie Buenaga          11    Tatnall RC                DE    115.0
103   Katie Oldham           11    Tatnall RC                DE    113.4
109   Haley Pierce           8     Tatnall RC                DE    112.3

36    Lucy Whipps            10    Blues (St Mary's)         OR    131.3      328
49    Alexandra Jones        11    Blues (St Mary's)         OR    128.0
52    Alexa Kearns           10    Blues (St Mary's)         OR    127.4
87    Taylor Ffitch          12    Blues (St Mary's)         OR    118.0
104   Jen Olson              10    Blues (St Mary's)         OR    113.3
138   Erin Bergmann          9     Blues (St Mary's)         OR    99.2
139   Tara Higgins           12    Blues (St Mary's)         OR    99.1

42    Andrea Keklak          9     Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    131.0      329
51    Dana Jamieson          12    Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    128.0
69    Ellie Hylton           11    Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    121.6
78    Claire Arthur          10    Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    120.3
89    Emily Mepham           12    Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    118.0
115   Holly Clarke           10    Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    111.3
136   Rachael Potter         11    Wicked (Linc-Sudbury)     MA    101.3

19    Tori Pennings          12    Warwick Valley RC         NY    138.7      332
21    Lillian Greibesland    10    Warwick Valley RC         NY    138.1
84    Claire Pettit          12    Warwick Valley RC         NY    118.5
88    Kim Naples             11    Warwick Valley RC         NY    118.0
120   Kayla Leahey           10    Warwick Valley RC         NY    109.3
151   Megan Mydosh           9     Warwick Valley RC         NY    86.4
153   Lisa DiVenuta          11    Warwick Valley RC         NY    81.0

12    Madeline Morgan        11    Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    142.3      334
28    Marie Demedicis        9     Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    133.1
91    Brigid Carey           12    Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    117.5
95    Catherine Diethelm     9     Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    115.0
108   Leslie Boozer          11    Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    112.4
128   Mary Catherine Farrar  8     Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    106.8
133   Reed Ellis             12    Caution TC (Mtn Brook)    AL    102.1

47    Dana Payonk            10    Lake Central              IN    129.2      346
53    Megan Plenus           10    Lake Central              IN    126.9
54    Rachel Zajac           11    Lake Central              IN    126.0
75    Anna Bona              12    Lake Central              IN    121.2
117   Anna Kacius            9     Lake Central              IN    110.9
122   Jackie Henderson       12    Lake Central              IN    108.1
132   Kailey Jensen          10    Lake Central              IN    103.0

16    Natalie Haws           12    Davis RC                  UT    140.1      347
23    Candace Eddy           11    Davis RC                  UT    136.0
82    Emily Hansen           10    Davis RC                  UT    119.3
107   Loren Storey           12    Davis RC                  UT    113.0
119   Julianne Wirthlin      11    Davis RC                  UT    109.9
129   Meghan Hedquist        9     Davis RC                  UT    105.4
134   Hollie King            11    Davis RC                  UT    102.1

20    Tara Upshaw            11    Southlake Carroll         TX    138.6      350
48    Taylor Stephens        12    Southlake Carroll         TX    128.1
58    Jessica Harper         10    Southlake Carroll         TX    124.8
101   Lauren Hill            12    Southlake Carroll         TX    113.6
123   Caitlin Gilbert        11    Southlake Carroll         TX    108.1
130   Lucia Xiong            11    Southlake Carroll         TX    104.0
146   Jill Pawlowski         12    Southlake Carroll         TX    94.6

32    Laleh Mojtabaeezamani  12    Keller RC                 TX    131.7      374
43    Kelly Dawson           12    Keller RC                 TX    130.6
76    Chelsea Scott          10    Keller RC                 TX    121.0
99    Ashley Vincent         10    Keller RC                 TX    113.8
124   Julie Durrwachter      10    Keller RC                 TX    107.8
148   Shelby Coval           9     Keller RC                 TX    92.3
152   Emma Reed              10    Keller RC                 TX    85.1

29    Mariah Hofer           10    3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    132.7      381
56    Megan Hilson           10    3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    125.4
94    Kristin Sternhagen     12    3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    115.8
100   Jade Steinberg         12    3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    113.6
102   Krista Creager         11    3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    113.5
131   Ethelin Cammock        10    3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    103.0
135   Hiley Cammock          9     3-D Run (Yankton)         SD    102.0